U.S. real GDP growth
Projected growth in inflation-adjusted U.S. gross domestic product.
United States / Global · %260 extracted figures16 institutions18 comparable groups
Revisions on this metric
118 on record2026 full year · Annual growth
United States · 5 institutionsEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| EIA | 2026 full year“U.S. GDP <br>(percentage change) | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.8” — Overview table, U.S. GDP row, 2026projected column · source ↗ | 2026-11-10 | 2.4 |
| IMF | 2026 full year“{"indicator":"NGDP_RPCH","area":"USA","year":"2026","value":2.3}” — DataMapper NGDP_RPCH/USA · source ↗ | 2026-10-08 | 2.3 |
| EIA | 2026 full year“| U.S. GDP <br>(percentage change) | 2.8 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.6 |” — Overview table, U.S. GDP row · source ↗ | 2026-10-06 | 2.1 |
| Deloitte | 2026 full year“We expect real GDP growth to slow modestly from 2.1% in 2026 to 1.9% in 2028.” — Baseline section · source ↗ | 2026-09-29 | 2.1% |
| Fannie Mae | 2026 full year“| Gross Domestic Product | -0.6 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 |” — Table, Gross Domestic Product row, 2026 annual column · source ↗ | 2026-09-11 | 2.0 |
| EIA | 2026 full year“| U.S. GDP <br>(percentage change) | 2.8 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.4 |” — Overview table, U.S. GDP row, 2026projected column · source ↗ | 2026-09-09 | 2.1 |
| EIA | 2026 full year“| U.S. GDP <br>(percentage change) | 2.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.4 |” — Overview table, 2026projected column · source ↗ | 2026-08-11 | 2.0 |
| EIA | 2026 full year“| U.S. GDP <br>(percentage change) | 2.8 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.3 |” — Overview table, U.S. GDP row · source ↗ | 2026-07-07 | 2.1 |
| Deloitte | 2026 full year“Real GDP is still expected to grow by a healthy 2.0% in 2026, before slipping to 1.8% in 2027, when consumer spending is on a more sustainable footing and AI-related investment growth moderates a bit.” — Baseline section · source ↗ | 2026-07-01 | 2.0% |
| IMF | 2026 full year“{"indicator":"NGDP_RPCH","area":"USA","year":"2026","value":2.3}” — DataMapper NGDP_RPCH/USA · source ↗ | 2026-04-08 | 2.3 |
| Morgan Stanley | 2026 full year“After growing 2.8% in 2024 (2.5% 4Q/4Q), U.S. economic growth is likely to slow to 1.5% (1% 4Q/4Q) this year and 1% in 2026.” — U.S. Growth and Inflation section · source ↗ | 2025-05-28 | 1% in 2026 |
Readout
- Consensus
- 1.96%
- Spread
- +1.40%
- Low
- 1.00%
- High
- 2.40%
- Reporting
- 5
- Basis
- Annual growth
2027 full year · Annual growth
United States · 4 institutionsEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| EIA | 2027 full year“U.S. GDP <br>(percentage change) | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.8” — Overview table, U.S. GDP row, 2027projected column · source ↗ | 2026-11-10 | 2.8 |
| IMF | 2027 full year“{"indicator":"NGDP_RPCH","area":"USA","year":"2027","value":2.3}” — DataMapper NGDP_RPCH/USA · source ↗ | 2026-10-08 | 2.3 |
| EIA | 2027 full year“| U.S. GDP <br>(percentage change) | 2.8 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.6 |” — Overview table, U.S. GDP row · source ↗ | 2026-10-06 | 2.6 |
| Fannie Mae | 2027 full year“| Gross Domestic Product | -0.6 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 |” — Table, Gross Domestic Product row, 2027 annual column · source ↗ | 2026-09-11 | 2.5 |
| EIA | 2027 full year“| U.S. GDP <br>(percentage change) | 2.8 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.4 |” — Overview table, U.S. GDP row, 2027projected column · source ↗ | 2026-09-09 | 2.4 |
| EIA | 2027 full year“| U.S. GDP <br>(percentage change) | 2.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.4 |” — Overview table, 2027projected column · source ↗ | 2026-08-11 | 2.4 |
| EIA | 2027 full year“| U.S. GDP <br>(percentage change) | 2.8 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.3 |” — Overview table, U.S. GDP row · source ↗ | 2026-07-07 | 2.3 |
| Deloitte | 2027 full year“Real GDP is still expected to grow by a healthy 2.0% in 2026, before slipping to 1.8% in 2027, when consumer spending is on a more sustainable footing and AI-related investment growth moderates a bit.” — Baseline section · source ↗ | 2026-07-01 | 1.8% |
| IMF | 2027 full year“{"indicator":"NGDP_RPCH","area":"USA","year":"2027","value":2.1}” — DataMapper NGDP_RPCH/USA · source ↗ | 2026-04-08 | 2.1 |
Readout
- Consensus
- 2.35%
- Spread
- +1.00%
- Low
- 1.80%
- High
- 2.80%
- Reporting
- 4
- Basis
- Annual growth
2026 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 4 institutionsEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fannie Mae | 2026 Q4“| Gross Domestic Product | -0.6 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 |” — Table, Gross Domestic Product row, 2026 Q4 column · source ↗ | 2026-09-11 | 2.1 |
| Wells Fargo | 2026 Q4“Real Gross Domestic Product (a) | 2026 4Q | 1.6” — U.S. Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗ | 2026-07-30 | 1.6% |
| RBC | 2026 Q4“Real gross domestic product | 2026 Q4 | 2.2” — U.S. Forecast Detail · 2026 Q4 · source ↗ | 2026-07-13 | 2.2% |
| Fannie Mae | 2026 Q4“Gross Domestic Product | 26.4 | 2.2” — Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗ | 2026-07-10 | 2.2% |
| CBO | 2026 Q4“2026q4,real_gdp_pct_change,1.901,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.901 |
| CBO | 2026 Q4“2026q4,real_gdp_pct_change,2.117,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 2.117 |
| CBO | 2026 Q4“2026q4,real_gdp_pct_change,1.747,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.747 |
| CBO | 2026 Q4“2026q4,real_gdp_pct_change,1.828,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.828 |
| CBO | 2026 Q4“2026q4,real_gdp_pct_change,2.134,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 2.134 |
Readout
- Consensus
- 1.95%
- Spread
- +0.60%
- Low
- 1.60%
- High
- 2.20%
- Reporting
- 4
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
2025 full year · Annual growth
United States · 3 institutionsEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — Page meta description · source ↗ | 2026-11-11 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — Meta description · source ↗ | 2026-11-10 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — Page meta description (description and og:description) · source ↗ | 2026-11-09 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — Page metadata, meta description · source ↗ | 2026-11-07 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — Page meta description (description and og:description) · source ↗ | 2026-11-02 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — Meta description · source ↗ | 2026-11-01 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — Page meta description · source ↗ | 2026-10-31 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — Page meta description · source ↗ | 2026-10-30 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — Page meta description · source ↗ | 2026-10-26 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — Page metadata, meta description · source ↗ | 2026-10-24 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — Page metadata, meta description · source ↗ | 2026-10-21 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — Page metadata, meta description · source ↗ | 2026-10-16 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — Meta description · source ↗ | 2026-10-15 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — Meta description · source ↗ | 2026-10-14 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — Meta description · source ↗ | 2026-10-12 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — Meta description · source ↗ | 2026-10-11 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — meta.description · source ↗ | 2026-10-05 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — Meta description · source ↗ | 2026-09-24 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — Meta description · source ↗ | 2026-09-19 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — Meta description · source ↗ | 2026-09-08 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — Meta description · source ↗ | 2026-09-01 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — Meta description · source ↗ | 2026-08-29 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — Meta description · source ↗ | 2026-08-27 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion for 2025 to 1.7% from their earlier forecast of 2.2%.” — Meta description · source ↗ | 2026-08-26 | 1.7% |
| Morgan Stanley | 2025 full year“U.S. economic growth is likely to slow to 1.5% (1% 4Q/4Q) this year and 1% in 2026” — U.S. Growth and Inflation · source ↗ | 2025-05-28 | 1.5% |
| Morgan Stanley | 2025 full year“After growing 2.8% in 2024 (2.5% 4Q/4Q), U.S. economic growth is likely to slow to 1.5% (1% 4Q/4Q) this year and 1% in 2026.” — U.S. Growth and Inflation section · source ↗ | 2025-05-28 | 1.5% |
| J.P. Morgan | 2025 full year“According to J.P. Morgan Research, however, U.S. GDP growth is set to slow slightly this year to 2.4% in 2025, down from 2.8% in 2024 (on a full-year basis), while the unemployment rate is forecast to gradually increase to a peak of 4.2% around the middle of the year, up from January’s reading of 4.0%.” — Section “What’s the US growth outlook?”, paragraph beginning “According to J.P. Morgan Research” · source ↗ | 2025-02-28 | 2.4% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 full year“They forecast GDP growth to beat expectations at 2.5% in 2025” — Opening summary · source ↗ | 2024-12-02 | 2.5% |
Readout
- Consensus
- 1.87%
- Spread
- +0.90%
- Low
- 1.50%
- High
- 2.40%
- Reporting
- 3
- Basis
- Annual growth
2025 Q4 · Q4/Q4
United States · 3 institutionsEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fed | 2025 Q4“Change in real GDP 1.4” — Table 1 · 2025 median · source ↗ | 2025-06-18 | 1.4% |
| Fed | 2025 Q4“| Change in real GDP | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.2–1.5 | 1.5–1.8 | 1.7–2.0 | 1.7–2.0 | 1.1–2.1 | 0.6–2.5 | 0.6–2.5 | 1.5–2.5 |” — Table 1, median row, 2025 column · source ↗ | 2025-06-18 | 1.4 |
| Morgan Stanley | 2025 Q4“U.S. economic growth is likely to slow to 1.5% (1% 4Q/4Q) this year and 1% in 2026” — U.S. Growth and Inflation · source ↗ | 2025-05-28 | 1.0% |
| Morgan Stanley | 2025 Q4“After growing 2.8% in 2024 (2.5% 4Q/4Q), U.S. economic growth is likely to slow to 1.5% (1% 4Q/4Q) this year and 1% in 2026.” — U.S. Growth and Inflation section · source ↗ | 2025-05-28 | 1% 4Q/4Q |
| Fed | 2025 Q4“Change in real GDP 1.7” — Table 1, page 2 · 2025 median · source ↗ | 2025-03-19 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 Q4“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion to 1.7% in the fourth quarter of 2025 (year over year)” — Opening section · source ↗ | 2025-03-13 | 1.7% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2025 Q4“Our economists reduced their prediction for US GDP expansion to 1.7% in the fourth quarter of 2025 (year over year) from their earlier estimate of 2.2%.” — Main article text, paragraph 2 · source ↗ | 2025-03-13 | 1.7% |
Readout
- Consensus
- 1.37%
- Spread
- +0.70%
- Low
- 1.00%
- High
- 1.70%
- Reporting
- 3
- Basis
- Q4/Q4
2027 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 2 institutionsEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fannie Mae | 2027 Q2“| Gross Domestic Product | -0.6 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 |” — Table, Gross Domestic Product row, 2027 Q2 column · source ↗ | 2026-09-11 | 2.6 |
| CBO | 2027 Q2“2027q2,real_gdp_pct_change,1.784,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.784 |
| CBO | 2027 Q2“2027q2,real_gdp_pct_change,1.85,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.85 |
| CBO | 2027 Q2“2027q2,real_gdp_pct_change,1.691,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.691 |
| CBO | 2027 Q2“2027q2,real_gdp_pct_change,1.681,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.681 |
| CBO | 2027 Q2“2027q2,real_gdp_pct_change,2.148,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 2.148 |
Readout
- Consensus
- 2.19%
- Spread
- +0.82%
- Low
- 1.78%
- High
- 2.60%
- Reporting
- 2
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
2027 Q4 · Q4/Q4
United States · 2 institutionsEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fannie Mae | 2027 Q4“| Gross Domestic Product | -0.6 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 |” — Forecast table, Gross Domestic Product, 2027 annual column · source ↗ | 2026-08-13 | 2.5 |
| Fed | 2027 Q4“| Change in real GDP | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.2–1.5 | 1.5–1.8 | 1.7–2.0 | 1.7–2.0 | 1.1–2.1 | 0.6–2.5 | 0.6–2.5 | 1.5–2.5 |” — Table 1, Change in real GDP, median row, 2027 column · source ↗ | 2025-06-18 | 1.8 |
Readout
- Consensus
- 2.15%
- Spread
- +0.70%
- Low
- 1.80%
- High
- 2.50%
- Reporting
- 2
- Basis
- Q4/Q4
2027 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 2 institutionsEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fannie Mae | 2027 Q4“| Gross Domestic Product | -0.6 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 |” — Table, Gross Domestic Product row, 2027 Q4 column · source ↗ | 2026-09-11 | 2.5 |
| CBO | 2027 Q4“2027q4,real_gdp_pct_change,1.834,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.834 |
| CBO | 2027 Q4“2027q4,real_gdp_pct_change,1.713,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.713 |
| CBO | 2027 Q4“2027q4,real_gdp_pct_change,1.804,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.804 |
| CBO | 2027 Q4“2027q4,real_gdp_pct_change,1.705,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.705 |
| CBO | 2027 Q4“2027q4,real_gdp_pct_change,2.106,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 2.106 |
Readout
- Consensus
- 2.17%
- Spread
- +0.67%
- Low
- 1.83%
- High
- 2.50%
- Reporting
- 2
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
2027 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 2 institutionsEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fannie Mae | 2027 Q3“| Gross Domestic Product | -0.6 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 |” — Table, Gross Domestic Product row, 2027 Q3 column · source ↗ | 2026-09-11 | 2.5 |
| CBO | 2027 Q3“2027q3,real_gdp_pct_change,1.844,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.844 |
| CBO | 2027 Q3“2027q3,real_gdp_pct_change,1.798,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.798 |
| CBO | 2027 Q3“2027q3,real_gdp_pct_change,1.704,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.704 |
| CBO | 2027 Q3“2027q3,real_gdp_pct_change,1.693,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.693 |
| CBO | 2027 Q3“2027q3,real_gdp_pct_change,2.128,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 2.128 |
Readout
- Consensus
- 2.17%
- Spread
- +0.66%
- Low
- 1.84%
- High
- 2.50%
- Reporting
- 2
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 2 institutionsEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Fed | 2026 Q3“46325 2026:Q3 2.67 2.9” — Forecasts By Horizon, forecast date 46325 (latest), Nowcast (current quarter) column · source ↗ | 2026-10-30 | 2.67 |
| Atlanta Fed | 2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **3.3 percent** on October 28, **down from 3.4 percent** on October 27.” — Commentary dated October 28, 2026, first paragraph · source ↗ | 2026-10-28 | 3.3 percent |
| Atlanta Fed | 2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **3.4 percent** on October 27, **down from 3.5 percent** on October 20.” — Commentary dated October 27, 2026, first paragraph · source ↗ | 2026-10-27 | 3.4 percent |
| New York Fed | 2026 Q3“46318 2026:Q3 2.67 2.81” — Forecasts By Horizon sheet, forecast date 46318, Nowcast (current quarter) column · source ↗ | 2026-10-23 | 2.67 |
| Atlanta Fed | 2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 3.5 percent on October 20, down from 3.6 percent on October 15.” — Commentary dated October 20, 2026, first paragraph · source ↗ | 2026-10-20 | 3.5 percent |
| New York Fed | 2026 Q3“46311 2026:Q3 2.67 2.82” — Forecasts By Horizon sheet, row for forecast date 46311, Nowcast (current quarter) column · source ↗ | 2026-10-16 | 2.67 |
| Atlanta Fed | 2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 3.6 percent on October 15, unchanged from October 8 after rounding.” — October 15, 2026 commentary, first paragraph · source ↗ | 2026-10-15 | 3.6 percent |
| New York Fed | 2026 Q3“46304 2026:Q3 2.65 2.83” — Forecasts By Horizon, most recent row (nowcast/current quarter) · source ↗ | 2026-10-10 | 2.65 |
| Atlanta Fed | 2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **3.6 percent** on October 8, **down from 3.7 percent** on October 6.” — October 8, 2026 commentary · source ↗ | 2026-10-08 | 3.6 percent |
| Atlanta Fed | 2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **3.7 percent** on October 6, **unchanged** from October 1 after rounding.” — October 6, 2026 commentary · source ↗ | 2026-10-06 | 3.7 percent |
| New York Fed | 2026 Q3“46297 2026:Q3 2.46 2.54” — Forecasts By Horizon, latest row (forecast date 46297), Nowcast (current quarter) · source ↗ | 2026-10-03 | 2.46 |
| Atlanta Fed | 2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **3.7 percent** on October 1, **unchanged** from September 30 after rounding.” — October 1, 2026 commentary · source ↗ | 2026-10-01 | 3.7 percent |
| Atlanta Fed | 2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **3.7 percent** on September 30, **down from 5.0 percent** on September 25.” — September 30, 2026 commentary · source ↗ | 2026-09-30 | 3.7 percent |
| Atlanta Fed | 2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **5.0 percent** on September 25, **down from 5.1 percent** on September 17.” — September 25, 2026 commentary · source ↗ | 2026-09-26 | 5.0 percent |
| New York Fed | 2026 Q3“46290 2026:Q3 2.33 2.6” — Forecasts By Horizon, latest row (46290), Nowcast (current quarter) · source ↗ | 2026-09-26 | 2.33 |
| New York Fed | 2026 Q3“46283 2026:Q3 2.33 2.6” — Forecasts By Horizon sheet, final row, Nowcast (current quarter) column · source ↗ | 2026-09-19 | 2.33 |
| Atlanta Fed | 2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **5.1 percent** on September 17, **unchanged** from September 16 after rounding.” — September 17, 2026 commentary · source ↗ | 2026-09-17 | 5.1 percent |
| Atlanta Fed | 2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **5.1 percent** on September 16, **up from 4.4 percent** on September 10.” — September 16, 2026 commentary · source ↗ | 2026-09-16 | 5.1 percent |
| New York Fed | 2026 Q3“46276 2026:Q3 2.2599999999999998 2.5099999999999998” — Forecasts By Horizon sheet, final row (forecast date 46276), Nowcast (current quarter) column · source ↗ | 2026-09-12 | 2.2599999999999998 |
| Atlanta Fed | 2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **4.4 percent** on September 10, **down from 4.7 percent** on September 3.” — September 10, 2026 commentary · source ↗ | 2026-09-10 | 4.4 percent |
| New York Fed | 2026 Q3“46269 2026:Q3 2.2599999999999998 2.5099999999999998” — Forecasts By Horizon sheet, final row; Nowcast (current quarter) column · source ↗ | 2026-09-05 | 2.2599999999999998 |
| Atlanta Fed | 2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **4.7 percent** on September 3, **down from 4.8 percent** on September 1.” — September 3, 2026 commentary · source ↗ | 2026-09-03 | 4.7 percent |
| Atlanta Fed | 2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **4.8 percent** on September 1, **up from 4.6 percent** on August 26.” — September 1, 2026 commentary · source ↗ | 2026-09-01 | 4.8 percent |
| New York Fed | 2026 Q3“46262 2026:Q3 2.2200000000000002” — Forecasts By Horizon sheet, final row, Nowcast (current quarter) column · source ↗ | 2026-08-29 | 2.2200000000000002 |
| Atlanta Fed | 2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **4.6 percent** on August 26, **up from 4.0 percent** on August 18.” — August 26, 2026 commentary · source ↗ | 2026-08-26 | 4.6 percent |
| New York Fed | 2026 Q3“46255 2026:Q3 2.27” — Forecasts By Horizon, latest row (forecast date 46255), Nowcast (current quarter) · source ↗ | 2026-08-26 | 2.27 |
| Atlanta Fed | 2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **4.0 percent** on August 18, **down from 4.3 percent** on August 14.” — August 18, 2026 commentary · source ↗ | 2026-08-18 | 4.0 percent |
| Atlanta Fed | 2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **5.8 percent** on August 6, **down from 5.9 percent** on August 4.” — August 6, 2026 commentary · source ↗ | 2026-08-07 | 5.8 percent |
Readout
- Consensus
- 2.98%
- Spread
- +0.63%
- Low
- 2.67%
- High
- 3.30%
- Reporting
- 2
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
2026 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 2 institutionsEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Fed | 2026 Q4“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2026 is **3.5 percent** on November 9, **up from 3.4 percent** on November 4.” — November 9, 2026 commentary, first paragraph · source ↗ | 2026-11-09 | 3.5 percent |
| New York Fed | 2026 Q4“46332 2026:Q4 2.94” — Forecasts By Horizon sheet, forecast date 46332, reference quarter 2026:Q4, nowcast (current quarter) column; most recent nowcast row · source ↗ | 2026-11-06 | 2.94 |
| Atlanta Fed | 2026 Q4“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2026 is **3.4 percent** on November 4, **down from 3.7 percent** on November 2.” — November 4, 2026 commentary, first paragraph · source ↗ | 2026-11-04 | 3.4 percent |
| Atlanta Fed | 2026 Q4“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2026 is 3.7 percent on November 2, up from 3.2 percent on October 29.” — November 2, 2026 commentary, first paragraph · source ↗ | 2026-11-02 | 3.7 percent |
| Atlanta Fed | 2026 Q4“The initial GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2026 is 3.2 percent on October 29.” — Commentary dated October 29, 2026, first paragraph · source ↗ | 2026-11-01 | 3.2 percent |
| New York Fed | 2026 Q4“46325 2026:Q3 2.67 2.9” — Forecasts By Horizon, forecast date 46325 (latest), Forecast (next quarter) column · source ↗ | 2026-10-30 | 2.9 |
| Atlanta Fed | 2026 Q4“The initial GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2026 is **3.2 percent** on October 29.” — October 29, 2026 entry, first paragraph · source ↗ | 2026-10-29 | 3.2 percent |
| New York Fed | 2026 Q4“46318 2026:Q3 2.67 2.81” — Forecasts By Horizon sheet, forecast date 46318, Forecast (next quarter) column · source ↗ | 2026-10-23 | 2.81 |
| New York Fed | 2026 Q4“46311 2026:Q3 2.67 2.82” — Forecasts By Horizon sheet, row for forecast date 46311, Forecast (next quarter) column · source ↗ | 2026-10-16 | 2.82 |
| New York Fed | 2026 Q4“46304 2026:Q3 2.65 2.83” — Forecasts By Horizon, most recent row (forecast/next quarter) · source ↗ | 2026-10-10 | 2.83 |
| New York Fed | 2026 Q4“46297 2026:Q3 2.46 2.54” — Forecasts By Horizon, latest row (forecast date 46297), Forecast (next quarter) · source ↗ | 2026-10-03 | 2.54 |
| New York Fed | 2026 Q4“46290 2026:Q3 2.33 2.6” — Forecasts By Horizon, latest row (46290), Forecast (next quarter) · source ↗ | 2026-09-26 | 2.6 |
| New York Fed | 2026 Q4“46283 2026:Q3 2.33 2.6” — Forecasts By Horizon sheet, final row, Forecast (next quarter) column · source ↗ | 2026-09-19 | 2.6 |
| New York Fed | 2026 Q4“46276 2026:Q3 2.2599999999999998 2.5099999999999998” — Forecasts By Horizon sheet, final row (forecast date 46276), Forecast (next quarter) column · source ↗ | 2026-09-12 | 2.5099999999999998 |
| New York Fed | 2026 Q4“46269 2026:Q3 2.2599999999999998 2.5099999999999998” — Forecasts By Horizon sheet, final row; Forecast (next quarter) column · source ↗ | 2026-09-05 | 2.5099999999999998 |
Readout
- Consensus
- 3.22%
- Spread
- +0.56%
- Low
- 2.94%
- High
- 3.50%
- Reporting
- 2
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
2027 Q1 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 2 institutionsEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fannie Mae | 2027 Q1“| Gross Domestic Product | -0.6 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 |” — Table, Gross Domestic Product row, 2027 Q1 column · source ↗ | 2026-09-11 | 2.3 |
| CBO | 2027 Q1“2027q1,real_gdp_pct_change,1.76,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.76 |
| CBO | 2027 Q1“2027q1,real_gdp_pct_change,1.773,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.773 |
| CBO | 2027 Q1“2027q1,real_gdp_pct_change,1.818,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.818 |
| CBO | 2027 Q1“2027q1,real_gdp_pct_change,1.742,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.742 |
| CBO | 2027 Q1“2027q1,real_gdp_pct_change,2.184,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 2.184 |
Readout
- Consensus
- 2.03%
- Spread
- +0.54%
- Low
- 1.76%
- High
- 2.30%
- Reporting
- 2
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
2026 Q4 · Q4/Q4
United States · 2 institutionsEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fannie Mae | 2026 Q4“| Gross Domestic Product | -0.6 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 |” — Forecast table, Gross Domestic Product, 2026 annual column · source ↗ | 2026-08-13 | 2.0 |
| Fed | 2026 Q4“| Change in real GDP | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.2–1.5 | 1.5–1.8 | 1.7–2.0 | 1.7–2.0 | 1.1–2.1 | 0.6–2.5 | 0.6–2.5 | 1.5–2.5 |” — Table 1, Change in real GDP, median row, 2026 column · source ↗ | 2025-06-18 | 1.6 |
Readout
- Consensus
- 1.80%
- Spread
- +0.40%
- Low
- 1.60%
- High
- 2.00%
- Reporting
- 2
- Basis
- Q4/Q4
2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 2 institutionsEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fannie Mae | 2026 Q3“| Gross Domestic Product | -0.6 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 |” — Table, Gross Domestic Product row, 2026 Q3 column · source ↗ | 2026-09-11 | 2.4 |
| CBO | 2026 Q3“2026q3,real_gdp_pct_change,2.085,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 2.085 |
| CBO | 2026 Q3“2026q3,real_gdp_pct_change,2.107,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 2.107 |
| CBO | 2026 Q3“2026q3,real_gdp_pct_change,1.767,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.767 |
| CBO | 2026 Q3“2026q3,real_gdp_pct_change,1.817,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.817 |
| CBO | 2026 Q3“2026q3,real_gdp_pct_change,2.152,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 2.152 |
Readout
- Consensus
- 2.24%
- Spread
- +0.31%
- Low
- 2.08%
- High
- 2.40%
- Reporting
- 2
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
2026 full year · Annual growth
Global · 2 institutionsEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMF | 2026 full year“{"indicator":"NGDP_RPCH","area":"WEOWORLD","year":"2026","value":3.1}” — DataMapper NGDP_RPCH/WEOWORLD · source ↗ | 2026-10-08 | 3.1 |
| IMF | 2026 full year“{"indicator":"NGDP_RPCH","area":"WEOWORLD","year":"2026","value":3.1}” — DataMapper NGDP_RPCH/WEOWORLD · source ↗ | 2026-04-08 | 3.1 |
| Morgan Stanley | 2026 full year“Morgan Stanley Research forecasts the global economy will expand at an annual rate of 2.9% in 2025 (2.5% 4Q/4Q) and 2.8% in 2026, down from 3.3% (3.5% 4Q/4Q) in 2024.” — Global growth paragraph · source ↗ | 2025-05-28 | 2.8% |
Readout
- Consensus
- 2.95%
- Spread
- +0.30%
- Low
- 2.80%
- High
- 3.10%
- Reporting
- 2
- Basis
- Annual growth
2028 full year · Annual growth
United States · 2 institutionsEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMF | 2028 full year“{"indicator":"NGDP_RPCH","area":"USA","year":"2028","value":2.1}” — DataMapper NGDP_RPCH/USA · source ↗ | 2026-10-08 | 2.1 |
| Deloitte | 2028 full year“We expect real GDP growth to slow modestly from 2.1% in 2026 to 1.9% in 2028.” — Baseline section · source ↗ | 2026-09-29 | 1.9% |
| IMF | 2028 full year“{"indicator":"NGDP_RPCH","area":"USA","year":"2028","value":2.1}” — DataMapper NGDP_RPCH/USA · source ↗ | 2026-04-08 | 2.1 |
Readout
- Consensus
- 2.00%
- Spread
- +0.20%
- Low
- 1.90%
- High
- 2.10%
- Reporting
- 2
- Basis
- Annual growth
2025 full year · Calendar year
United States · 2 institutionsEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2025 full year“2025,real_gdp_pct_change,2.02,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2026-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 2.02 |
| OECD | 2025 full year“Real GDP growth is projected to slow to 2% in 2025 and 1.7% in 2026 before picking up to 1.9% in 2027” — United States overview · source ↗ | 2025-12-02 | 2.0% |
| CBO | 2025 full year“2025,real_gdp_pct_change,1.739,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-09.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.739 |
| CBO | 2025 full year“economic growth cools from an estimated 2.3 percent in calendar year 2024 to 1.9 percent in 2025 and 1.8 percent in 2026” — The Economic Outlook · source ↗ | 2025-01-17 | 1.9% |
| CBO | 2025 full year“2025,real_gdp_pct_change,2.124,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-01.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 2.124 |
| CBO | 2025 full year“2025,real_gdp_pct_change,2.057,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-06.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 2.057 |
| CBO | 2025 full year“2025,real_gdp_pct_change,1.971,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.971 |
Readout
- Consensus
- 2.01%
- Spread
- +0.02%
- Low
- 2.00%
- High
- 2.02%
- Reporting
- 2
- Basis
- Calendar year
2026 full year · Annual growth
United States · 2 institutionsEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| NABE | 2026 full year“The median forecast for inflation-adjusted GDP growth in 2026 rose to **2.1%**, up from 2.0% in the June 2026 survey, supported by business investment that is now expected to grow **6.7%**.” — Survey Highlights, first quote, paragraph 1 · source ↗ | 2026-11-06 | 2.1% |
| NABE | 2026 full year““The median forecast for inflation-adjusted GDP growth in 2026 rose to **2.1%**, up from 2.0% in the June 2026 survey, supported by business investment that is now expected to grow **6.7%**.” — Survey Highlights, statement by NABE Vice President Dr. Nela Richardson · source ↗ | 2026-10-14 | 2.1% |
| NABE | 2026 full year““The median forecast for inflation-adjusted GDP growth in 2026 rose to **2.1%**, up from 2.0% in the June 2026 survey, supported by business investment that is now expected to grow **6.7%**.” — Survey Highlights · source ↗ | 2026-10-12 | 2.1% |
| NABE | 2026 full year““The median forecast for inflation-adjusted GDP growth in 2026 fell to 2% from 2.4% in March, while headline personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation expectations rose nearly a full percentage point to 3.6%, year-over-year, for the fourth quarter of 2026.” — Summary · source ↗ | 2026-10-10 | 2% |
| NABE | 2026 full year““The median forecast for inflation-adjusted GDP growth in 2026 fell to 2% from 2.4% in March, while headline personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation expectations rose nearly a full percentage point to 3.6%, year-over-year, for the fourth quarter of 2026.” — Summary · source ↗ | 2026-09-22 | 2% |
| NABE | 2026 full year““The median forecast for inflation-adjusted GDP growth in 2026 fell to 2% from 2.4% in March, while headline personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation expectations rose nearly a full percentage point to 3.6%, year-over-year, for the fourth quarter of 2026.” — Summary · source ↗ | 2026-09-11 | 2% |
| NABE | 2026 full year““The median forecast for inflation-adjusted GDP growth in 2026 fell to 2% from 2.4% in March, while headline personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation expectations rose nearly a full percentage point to 3.6%, year-over-year, for the fourth quarter of 2026.” — Summary, first quoted paragraph · source ↗ | 2026-09-10 | 2% |
| NABE | 2026 full year“The median forecast for inflation-adjusted GDP growth in 2026 fell to 2% from 2.4% in March, while headline personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation expectations rose nearly a full percentage point to 3.6%, year-over-year, for the fourth quarter of 2026.” — Summary · source ↗ | 2026-09-02 | 2% |
| NABE | 2026 full year““The median forecast for inflation-adjusted GDP growth in 2026 fell to 2% from 2.4% in March, while headline personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation expectations rose nearly a full percentage point to 3.6%, year-over-year, for the fourth quarter of 2026.” — Summary · source ↗ | 2026-08-28 | 2% |
| NABE | 2026 full year““The median forecast for inflation-adjusted GDP growth in 2026 fell to 2% from 2.4% in March, while headline personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation expectations rose nearly a full percentage point to 3.6%, year-over-year, for the fourth quarter of 2026.” — Summary · source ↗ | 2026-08-26 | 2% |
| Philadelphia Fed | 2026 full year“| 2026 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 34.6 | 40.7 |” — Median Forecasts table, 2026 annual row, New Real GDP column · source ↗ | 2026-08-14 | 2.1 |
Readout
- Consensus
- 2.10%
- Spread
- 0.00%
- Low
- 2.10%
- High
- 2.10%
- Reporting
- 2
- Basis
- Annual growth
2025 Q4 · Q4/Q4
Global · 1 institution| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | 2025 Q4“Morgan Stanley Research forecasts the global economy will expand at an annual rate of 2.9% in 2025 (2.5% 4Q/4Q) and 2.8% in 2026, down from 3.3% (3.5% 4Q/4Q) in 2024.” — Global growth paragraph · source ↗ | 2025-05-28 | 2.5% 4Q/4Q |
Readout
- Low
- 2.50%
- High
- 2.50%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Q4/Q4
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2025 full year · Annual growth
Global · 1 institution| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | 2025 full year“Morgan Stanley Research forecasts the global economy will expand at an annual rate of 2.9% in 2025 (2.5% 4Q/4Q) and 2.8% in 2026, down from 3.3% (3.5% 4Q/4Q) in 2024.” — Global growth paragraph · source ↗ | 2025-05-28 | 2.9% |
Readout
- Low
- 2.90%
- High
- 2.90%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Annual growth
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2027 full year · Annual growth
Global · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMF | 2027 full year“{"indicator":"NGDP_RPCH","area":"WEOWORLD","year":"2027","value":3.4}” — DataMapper NGDP_RPCH/WEOWORLD · source ↗ | 2026-10-08 | 3.4 |
| IMF | 2027 full year“{"indicator":"NGDP_RPCH","area":"WEOWORLD","year":"2027","value":3.2}” — DataMapper NGDP_RPCH/WEOWORLD · source ↗ | 2026-04-08 | 3.2 |
Readout
- Low
- 3.40%
- High
- 3.40%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Annual growth
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2028 full year · Annual growth
Global · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMF | 2028 full year“{"indicator":"NGDP_RPCH","area":"WEOWORLD","year":"2028","value":3.3}” — DataMapper NGDP_RPCH/WEOWORLD · source ↗ | 2026-10-08 | 3.3 |
| IMF | 2028 full year“{"indicator":"NGDP_RPCH","area":"WEOWORLD","year":"2028","value":3.2}” — DataMapper NGDP_RPCH/WEOWORLD · source ↗ | 2026-04-08 | 3.2 |
Readout
- Low
- 3.30%
- High
- 3.30%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Annual growth
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2029 full year · Annual growth
Global · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMF | 2029 full year“{"indicator":"NGDP_RPCH","area":"WEOWORLD","year":"2029","value":3.2}” — DataMapper NGDP_RPCH/WEOWORLD · source ↗ | 2026-10-08 | 3.2 |
| IMF | 2029 full year“{"indicator":"NGDP_RPCH","area":"WEOWORLD","year":"2029","value":3.2}” — DataMapper NGDP_RPCH/WEOWORLD · source ↗ | 2026-04-08 | 3.2 |
Readout
- Low
- 3.20%
- High
- 3.20%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Annual growth
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2023 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 1 institution| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2023 Q4“2023q4,real_gdp_pct_change,0.77,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 0.77 |
Readout
- Low
- 0.77%
- High
- 0.77%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2023 full year · Calendar year
United States · 1 institution| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2023 full year“2023,real_gdp_pct_change,2.412,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 2.412 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.41%
- High
- 2.41%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Calendar year
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2024 Q1 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 1 institution| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2024 Q1“2024q1,real_gdp_pct_change,1.343,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.343 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.34%
- High
- 1.34%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2024 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2024 Q2“2024q2,real_gdp_pct_change,2.36,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 2.36 |
| CBO | 2024 Q2“2024q2,real_gdp_pct_change,1.389,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.389 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.36%
- High
- 2.36%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2024 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2024 Q3“2024q3,real_gdp_pct_change,2.119,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 2.119 |
| CBO | 2024 Q3“2024q3,real_gdp_pct_change,1.662,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.662 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.12%
- High
- 2.12%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2024 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2024 Q4“2024q4,real_gdp_pct_change,1.945,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.945 |
| CBO | 2024 Q4“2024q4,real_gdp_pct_change,1.931,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.931 |
| CBO | 2024 Q4“2024q4,real_gdp_pct_change,1.742,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.742 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.95%
- High
- 1.95%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2024 full year · Calendar year
United States · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2024 full year“2024,real_gdp_pct_change,2.734,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-01.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 2.734 |
| CBO | 2024 full year“2024,real_gdp_pct_change,2.59,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-06.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 2.59 |
| CBO | 2024 full year“2024,real_gdp_pct_change,1.82,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.82 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.73%
- High
- 2.73%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Calendar year
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2025 Q1 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2025 Q1“2025q1,real_gdp_pct_change,1.985,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.985 |
| CBO | 2025 Q1“2025q1,real_gdp_pct_change,2.008,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 2.008 |
| CBO | 2025 Q1“2025q1,real_gdp_pct_change,1.965,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.965 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.99%
- High
- 1.99%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2025 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2025 Q2“2025q2,real_gdp_pct_change,2.027,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 2.027 |
| CBO | 2025 Q2“2025q2,real_gdp_pct_change,2.127,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 2.127 |
| CBO | 2025 Q2“2025q2,real_gdp_pct_change,2.248,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 2.248 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.03%
- High
- 2.03%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2025 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2025 Q3“2025q3,real_gdp_pct_change,3.296,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 3.296 |
| CBO | 2025 Q3“2025q3,real_gdp_pct_change,0.841,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 0.841 |
| CBO | 2025 Q3“2025q3,real_gdp_pct_change,1.885,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.885 |
| CBO | 2025 Q3“2025q3,real_gdp_pct_change,2.097,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 2.097 |
| CBO | 2025 Q3“2025q3,real_gdp_pct_change,2.284,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 2.284 |
Readout
- Low
- 3.30%
- High
- 3.30%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2025 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2025 Q4“2025q4,real_gdp_pct_change,1.225,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.225 |
| CBO | 2025 Q4“2025q4,real_gdp_pct_change,2.009,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 2.009 |
| CBO | 2025 Q4“2025q4,real_gdp_pct_change,1.734,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.734 |
| CBO | 2025 Q4“2025q4,real_gdp_pct_change,1.917,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.917 |
| CBO | 2025 Q4“2025q4,real_gdp_pct_change,2.406,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 2.406 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.23%
- High
- 1.23%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2025 full year · Full year
United States · 1 institution| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. Morgan | 2025 full year“GDP growth is set to slow slightly this year to 2.4% in 2025, down from 2.8% in 2024 (on a full-year basis)” — The global outlook for 2025 · source ↗ | 2025-02-28 | 2.4% |
Readout
- Low
- 2.40%
- High
- 2.40%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Full year
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2026 Q1 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2026 Q1“2026q1,real_gdp_pct_change,2.939,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 2.939 |
| CBO | 2026 Q1“2026q1,real_gdp_pct_change,1.963,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.963 |
| CBO | 2026 Q1“2026q1,real_gdp_pct_change,1.833,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.833 |
| CBO | 2026 Q1“2026q1,real_gdp_pct_change,1.681,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.681 |
| CBO | 2026 Q1“2026q1,real_gdp_pct_change,2.157,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 2.157 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.94%
- High
- 2.94%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2026 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 1 institution| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Fed | 2026 Q2“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2026 is 1.7 percent on July 17, unchanged from July 16.” — Current and Past GDPNow Commentaries · July 17, 2026 · source ↗ | 2026-07-17 | 1.7% |
Readout
- Low
- 1.70%
- High
- 1.70%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2026 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2026 Q2“2026q2,real_gdp_pct_change,1.987,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.987 |
| CBO | 2026 Q2“2026q2,real_gdp_pct_change,2.459,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 2.459 |
| CBO | 2026 Q2“2026q2,real_gdp_pct_change,1.876,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.876 |
| CBO | 2026 Q2“2026q2,real_gdp_pct_change,1.702,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.702 |
| CBO | 2026 Q2“2026q2,real_gdp_pct_change,2.165,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 2.165 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.99%
- High
- 1.99%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2026 Q2 · Quarterly annualized
United States · 1 institution| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Fed | 2026 Q2“The 17 participants in the June Livingston Survey predict steady output growth for 2026. The forecasters, who are surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia twice a year, expect 2.0 percent annualized growth in real GDP during the first and second half of 2026.” — Page 1, opening paragraph · source ↗ | 2026-06-24 | 2.0 percent annualized growth |
Readout
- Low
- 2.00%
- High
- 2.00%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly annualized
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2026 Q3 · Quarterly annualized
United States · 1 institution| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Fed | 2026 Q3“The forecasters predict the economy will expand at an annual rate of 2.5 percent this quarter and 2.3 percent next quarter, up from the predictions of 2.2 percent and 1.6 percent in the last survey.” — Outlook paragraph · source ↗ | 2026-08-14 | 2.5 percent |
Readout
- Low
- 2.50%
- High
- 2.50%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly annualized
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2026 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 1 institution| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Fed | 2026 Q4“2026:Q4 | Real GDP (%) | New 1.6” — Median Forecasts for Selected Variables · 2026:Q4 · source ↗ | 2026-05-15 | 1.6% |
Readout
- Low
- 1.60%
- High
- 1.60%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2026 Q4 · Quarterly annualized
United States · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Fed | 2026 Q4“The forecasters predict the economy will expand at an annual rate of 2.5 percent this quarter and 2.3 percent next quarter, up from the predictions of 2.2 percent and 1.6 percent in the last survey.” — Outlook paragraph · source ↗ | 2026-08-14 | 2.3 percent |
| Philadelphia Fed | 2026 Q4“The 17 participants in the June Livingston Survey predict steady output growth for 2026. The forecasters, who are surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia twice a year, expect 2.0 percent annualized growth in real GDP during the first and second half of 2026.” — Page 1, opening paragraph · source ↗ | 2026-06-24 | 2.0 percent annualized growth |
Readout
- Low
- 2.30%
- High
- 2.30%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly annualized
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2026 full year · Calendar year
United States · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2026 full year“2026,real_gdp_pct_change,2.364,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2026-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 2.364 |
| CBO | 2026 full year“2026,real_gdp_pct_change,2.034,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-09.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 2.034 |
| CBO | 2026 full year“2026,real_gdp_pct_change,1.827,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-01.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.827 |
| CBO | 2026 full year“2026,real_gdp_pct_change,1.835,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-06.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.835 |
| CBO | 2026 full year“2026,real_gdp_pct_change,2.224,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 2.224 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.36%
- High
- 2.36%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Calendar year
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2027 Q1 · Quarterly annualized
United States · 1 institution| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Fed | 2027 Q1“| 2027:Q1 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 4.5 | 4.3 | 64.0 | 94.9 |” — Median Forecasts table, 2027:Q1 row, New Real GDP column · source ↗ | 2026-08-14 | 2.1 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.10%
- High
- 2.10%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly annualized
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2027 Q2 · Quarterly annualized
United States · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Fed | 2027 Q2“| 2027:Q2 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 4.5 | 4.3 | 97.3 | 80.4 |” — Median Forecasts table, 2027:Q2 row, New Real GDP column · source ↗ | 2026-08-14 | 2.1 |
| Philadelphia Fed | 2027 Q2“The forecasters predict that real GDP will reach an annual rate of 1.8 percent growth in the first half of 2027.” — Page 1, opening paragraph · source ↗ | 2026-06-24 | 1.8 percent growth |
Readout
- Low
- 2.10%
- High
- 2.10%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly annualized
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2027 Q3 · Quarterly annualized
United States · 1 institution| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Fed | 2027 Q3“| 2027:Q3 | N.A. | 2.2 | N.A. | 4.3 | N.A. | 56.2 |” — Median Forecasts table, 2027:Q3 row, New Real GDP column · source ↗ | 2026-08-14 | 2.2 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.20%
- High
- 2.20%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly annualized
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2027 full year · Annual growth
United States · 1 institution| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Fed | 2027 full year“| 2027 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 4.3 | 64.4 | 75.4 |” — Median Forecasts table, 2027 annual row, New Real GDP column · source ↗ | 2026-08-14 | 2.2 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.20%
- High
- 2.20%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Annual growth
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2027 full year · Calendar year
United States · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2027 full year“2027,real_gdp_pct_change,1.861,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2026-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.861 |
| CBO | 2027 full year“2027,real_gdp_pct_change,1.935,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-09.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.935 |
| CBO | 2027 full year“2027,real_gdp_pct_change,1.763,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-01.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.763 |
| CBO | 2027 full year“2027,real_gdp_pct_change,1.745,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-06.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.745 |
| CBO | 2027 full year“2027,real_gdp_pct_change,2.151,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 2.151 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.86%
- High
- 1.86%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Calendar year
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2028 Q1 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2028 Q1“2028q1,real_gdp_pct_change,1.847,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.847 |
| CBO | 2028 Q1“2028q1,real_gdp_pct_change,1.881,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.881 |
| CBO | 2028 Q1“2028q1,real_gdp_pct_change,1.795,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.795 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.85%
- High
- 1.85%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2028 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2028 Q2“2028q2,real_gdp_pct_change,1.777,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.777 |
| CBO | 2028 Q2“2028q2,real_gdp_pct_change,1.735,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.735 |
| CBO | 2028 Q2“2028q2,real_gdp_pct_change,1.662,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.662 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.78%
- High
- 1.78%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2028 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2028 Q3“2028q3,real_gdp_pct_change,1.723,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.723 |
| CBO | 2028 Q3“2028q3,real_gdp_pct_change,1.684,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.684 |
| CBO | 2028 Q3“2028q3,real_gdp_pct_change,1.726,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.726 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.72%
- High
- 1.72%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2028 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2028 Q4“2028q4,real_gdp_pct_change,1.741,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.741 |
| CBO | 2028 Q4“2028q4,real_gdp_pct_change,1.72,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.72 |
| CBO | 2028 Q4“2028q4,real_gdp_pct_change,1.781,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.781 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.74%
- High
- 1.74%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2028 full year · Annual growth
United States · 1 institution| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Fed | 2028 full year“| 2028 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 4.4 | 4.2 | N.A. | N.A. |” — Median Forecasts table, 2028 annual row, New Real GDP column · source ↗ | 2026-08-14 | 2.1 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.10%
- High
- 2.10%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Annual growth
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2028 full year · Calendar year
United States · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2028 full year“2028,real_gdp_pct_change,1.805,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2026-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.805 |
| CBO | 2028 full year“2028,real_gdp_pct_change,1.775,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-09.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.775 |
| CBO | 2028 full year“2028,real_gdp_pct_change,1.744,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-01.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.744 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.80%
- High
- 1.80%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Calendar year
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2029 Q1 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 1 institution| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2029 Q1“2029q1,real_gdp_pct_change,1.768,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.768 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.77%
- High
- 1.77%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2029 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 1 institution| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2029 Q2“2029q2,real_gdp_pct_change,1.744,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.744 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.74%
- High
- 1.74%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2029 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 1 institution| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2029 Q3“2029q3,real_gdp_pct_change,1.761,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.761 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.76%
- High
- 1.76%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2029 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR
United States · 1 institution| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2029 Q4“2029q4,real_gdp_pct_change,1.792,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.792 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.79%
- High
- 1.79%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2029 full year · Annual growth
United States · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMF | 2029 full year“{"indicator":"NGDP_RPCH","area":"USA","year":"2029","value":1.9}” — DataMapper NGDP_RPCH/USA · source ↗ | 2026-10-08 | 1.9 |
| IMF | 2029 full year“{"indicator":"NGDP_RPCH","area":"USA","year":"2029","value":1.9}” — DataMapper NGDP_RPCH/USA · source ↗ | 2026-04-08 | 1.9 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.90%
- High
- 1.90%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Annual growth
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2029 full year · Annual growth
United States · 1 institution| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Fed | 2029 full year“| 2029 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 4.4 | 4.3 | N.A. | N.A. |” — Median Forecasts table, 2029 annual row, New Real GDP column · source ↗ | 2026-08-14 | 2.4 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.40%
- High
- 2.40%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Annual growth
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2029 full year · Calendar year
United States · 1 institution| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2029 full year“2029,real_gdp_pct_change,1.754,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2026-02.csv, real_gdp_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.754 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.75%
- High
- 1.75%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Calendar year
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.
2030 full year · Annual growth
United States · 1 institutionEmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deloitte | 2030 full year“We expect real GDP growth to accelerate to 2.3% by 2031—up slightly from the 2.2% growth forecasted last year.” — Baseline section · source ↗ | 2026-09-29 | 2.3% |
| Deloitte | 2030 full year“As a result, real GDP in 2030 is expected to be 2.1%, up from the 1.7% we forecasted in March.” — Baseline section · source ↗ | 2026-07-01 | 2.1% |
Readout
- Low
- 2.30%
- High
- 2.30%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Annual growth
One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.