NABE Outlook Survey
Extracted from https://www.nabe.com/NABE/NABE/Surveys/Outlook_Surveys/June_2026_Outlook_Survey_Summary.aspx. The document stated no publication date, so this report is dated when it was read.
National Association for Business EconomicsOpen source document ↗
Published2026-08-28
Extracted figures4
Source classConsensus survey
Update cadenceQuarterly
Available formatHTML
| Metric | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth | 2026 full year““The median forecast for inflation-adjusted GDP growth in 2026 fell to 2% from 2.4% in March, while headline personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation expectations rose nearly a full percentage point to 3.6%, year-over-year, for the fourth quarter of 2026.” — Summary · source ↗ | 2026-08-28 | 2% |
| Unemployment rate | 2026 full year““The labor market outlook improved in the June survey, as panelists raised their projection for average monthly job growth in 2026 to 68,000, up from 40,000 in March, and the anticipated unemployment rate ticked down slightly to 4.4%,” added NABE Outlook Survey Chair Yelena Maleyev, CBE, senior economist, KPMG.” — Summary · source ↗ | 2026-08-28 | 4.4% |
| Headline PCE inflation | 2026 Q4““The median forecast for inflation-adjusted GDP growth in 2026 fell to 2% from 2.4% in March, while headline personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation expectations rose nearly a full percentage point to 3.6%, year-over-year, for the fourth quarter of 2026.” — Summary · source ↗ | 2026-08-28 | 3.6% |
| Core PCE inflation | 2026 Q4“Core PCE inflation is now expected to reach 3.2% by year-end 2026.” — Summary · source ↗ | 2026-08-28 | 3.2% |