Deloitte United States Economic Forecast
Extracted from https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/us-economic-forecast/united-states-outlook-analysis.html
Published2026-09-29
Extracted figures11
Source classInstitution forecast
Update cadenceQuarterly
Available formatHTML
| Metric | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth | 2026 full year“We expect real GDP growth to slow modestly from 2.1% in 2026 to 1.9% in 2028.” — Baseline section · source ↗ | 2026-09-29 | 2.1% |
| Real GDP growth | 2028 full year“We expect real GDP growth to slow modestly from 2.1% in 2026 to 1.9% in 2028.” — Baseline section · source ↗ | 2026-09-29 | 1.9% |
| Real GDP growth | 2030 full year“We expect real GDP growth to accelerate to 2.3% by 2031—up slightly from the 2.2% growth forecasted last year.” — Baseline section · source ↗ | 2026-09-29 | 2.3% |
| Unemployment rate | 2026 full year“A slowdown in employment growth along with more modest declines in the workforce participation rate will allow the unemployment rate to drift upward from an expected 4.2% average in 2026 to 4.3% in 2028.” — Labor market section · source ↗ | 2026-09-29 | 4.2% average |
| Unemployment rate | 2028 full year“A slowdown in employment growth along with more modest declines in the workforce participation rate will allow the unemployment rate to drift upward from an expected 4.2% average in 2026 to 4.3% in 2028.” — Labor market section · source ↗ | 2026-09-29 | 4.3% |
| Core CPI inflation | 2029 full year“On a sequential basis, we expect core inflation to moderate until 2029, when it is projected to return to the US Fed’s 2% target.” — Prices section · source ↗ | 2026-09-29 | 2% |
| Personal consumption | 2026 full year“We now expect real consumer spending to grow by 2% this year before decelerating to 1.4% next year.” — Consumer spending section · source ↗ | 2026-09-29 | 2% |
| Personal consumption | 2027 full year“We now expect real consumer spending to grow by 2% this year before decelerating to 1.4% next year.” — Consumer spending section · source ↗ | 2026-09-29 | 1.4% |
| Personal consumption | 2030 full year“By 2031, real consumer spending is expected to grow by 2.1%.” — Consumer spending section · source ↗ | 2026-09-29 | 2.1% |
| Business investment | 2026 full year“We now expect it to grow by 6.6% this year and another 5.1% next year.” — Business investment section · source ↗ | 2026-09-29 | 6.6% |
| Business investment | 2027 full year“We now expect it to grow by 6.6% this year and another 5.1% next year.” — Business investment section · source ↗ | 2026-09-29 | 5.1% |