Planetary Insights / Outlook Index Outlook Index Forecasts from the Fed, the IMF, the CBO and bank research desks, tracked as they get revised.
2297 figures 17 institutions 1149 revisions on record 83 comparable groups
Revision tape 1149 derived 2026-11-10 EIA U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 full year 2.1 → 2.4 2026-11-10 EIA U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 full year 2.6 → 2.8 2026-11-10 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 3.95 → 3.94 2026-11-10 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 4.24 → 4.40 2026-11-10 Cleveland Fed U.S. core CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 3.02 → 3.40 2026-11-10 Cleveland Fed U.S. core PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 3.33 → 3.38 2026-11-10 EIA Brent crude oil price, 2026 full year $96 → 97 2026-11-10 EIA Brent crude oil price, 2027 full year $84/b → 86 2026-11-10 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, 2026 full year $3.91 → 3.89 2026-11-10 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, 2027 full year just under $3.60/gal → $3.73/gal 2026-11-09 Atlanta Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q4 3.4 percent → 3.5 percent 2026-11-09 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 3.94 → 3.95 2026-11-09 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 4.22 → 4.24 2026-11-06 New York Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q4 2.9 → 2.94 2026-11-06 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 3.85 → 3.94 2026-11-06 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 4.07 → 4.22 2026-11-05 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 3.99 → 3.85 2026-11-05 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 4.31 → 4.07 2026-11-05 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, August 2027 76 → 78 2026-11-05 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, December 2026 94 → 92 2026-11-05 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, December 2027 68 → 70 2026-11-05 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, February 2027 91 → 89 2026-11-05 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, January 2027 93 → 91 2026-11-05 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, July 2027 78 → 80 2026-11-05 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, June 2027 80 → 82 2026-11-05 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, March 2027 89 → 87 2026-11-05 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, May 2027 83 → 84 2026-11-05 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, November 2027 70 → 72 2026-11-05 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, October 2027 72 → 74 2026-11-05 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, September 2027 74 → 76 2026-11-05 EIA Brent crude oil price, April 2027 90 → 91 2026-11-05 EIA Brent crude oil price, August 2027 80 → 83 2026-11-05 EIA Brent crude oil price, December 2027 72 → 75 2026-11-05 EIA Brent crude oil price, July 2027 82 → 85 2026-11-05 EIA Brent crude oil price, June 2027 84 → 87 2026-11-05 EIA Brent crude oil price, May 2027 87 → 89 2026-11-05 EIA Brent crude oil price, November 2027 74 → 77 2026-11-05 EIA Brent crude oil price, October 2027 76 → 79 2026-11-05 EIA Brent crude oil price, September 2027 78 → 81 2026-11-05 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, April 2027 3.776932 → 3.8608009999999999 2026-11-05 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, August 2027 3.5694859999999999 → 3.9296190000000002 2026-11-05 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, December 2026 3.8570730000000002 → 3.7939219999999998 2026-11-05 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, December 2027 3.1078079999999999 → 3.1360549999999998 2026-11-05 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, February 2027 3.6510500000000001 → 3.6193840000000002 2026-11-05 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, January 2027 3.7209099999999999 → 3.6806950000000001 2026-11-05 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, July 2027 3.6498840000000001 → 4.0402089999999999 2026-11-05 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, June 2027 3.7229739999999998 → 4.0810940000000002 2026-11-05 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, March 2027 3.737781 → 3.7593169999999998 2026-11-05 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, May 2027 3.7662819999999999 → 4.0301260000000001 2026-11-05 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, November 2026 4.1965430000000001 → 4.0620450000000003 2026-11-05 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, November 2027 3.2545459999999999 → 3.3291970000000002 2026-11-05 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, October 2027 3.367397 → 3.5108959999999998 2026-11-05 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, September 2027 3.4503780000000002 → 3.7646419999999998 2026-11-05 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, April 2027 2.5947140000000002 → 2.3427069999999999 2026-11-05 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, August 2027 3.0789140000000002 → 2.7774169999999998 2026-11-05 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, December 2026 3.499933 → 2.871953 2026-11-05 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, December 2027 3.9023029999999999 → 3.6789679999999998 2026-11-05 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, February 2027 3.5052029999999998 → 3.0326059999999999 2026-11-05 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, January 2027 4.0051949999999996 → 3.3743989999999999 2026-11-05 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, July 2027 2.9460480000000002 → 2.7333370000000001 2026-11-05 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, June 2027 2.7508530000000002 → 2.5347849999999998 2026-11-05 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, March 2027 2.9036430000000002 → 2.4226190000000001 2026-11-05 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, May 2027 2.5845899999999999 → 2.3709099999999999 2026-11-05 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, November 2026 3.2442790000000001 → 2.6609660000000002 2026-11-05 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, November 2027 3.4282270000000001 → 3.3957549999999999 2026-11-05 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, October 2027 3.1374550000000001 → 3.0919699999999999 2026-11-05 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, September 2027 3.1088640000000001 → 2.8607649999999998 2026-11-04 Atlanta Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q4 3.7 percent → 3.4 percent 2026-11-04 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 4.05 → 3.99 2026-11-04 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 4.42 → 4.31 2026-11-03 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 4.52 → 4.05 2026-11-03 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 5.26 → 4.42 2026-11-02 Atlanta Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q4 3.2 percent → 3.7 percent 2026-11-02 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 4.42 → 4.52 2026-11-02 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 5.08 → 5.26 2026-10-31 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 4.45 → 4.42 2026-10-31 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 5.13 → 5.08 2026-10-30 New York Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q4 2.81 → 2.9 2026-10-29 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 4.28 → 4.45 2026-10-29 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 5.05 → 5.13 2026-10-29 Cleveland Fed U.S. core PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 3.15 → 3.33 2026-10-28 Atlanta Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q3 3.4 percent → 3.3 percent 2026-10-28 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 4.37 → 4.28 2026-10-28 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 5.21 → 5.05 2026-10-27 Atlanta Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q3 3.5 percent → 3.4 percent 2026-10-27 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 4.45 → 4.37 2026-10-27 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 5.35 → 5.21 2026-10-26 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 4.33 → 4.45 2026-10-26 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 5.13 → 5.35 2026-10-23 New York Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q4 2.82 → 2.81 2026-10-23 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 4.16 → 4.33 2026-10-23 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 4.84 → 5.13 2026-10-22 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 4.17 → 4.16 2026-10-22 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 4.85 → 4.84 2026-10-21 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 4.24 → 4.17 2026-10-21 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 4.98 → 4.85 2026-10-20 Atlanta Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q3 3.6 percent → 3.5 percent 2026-10-20 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 4.27 → 4.24 2026-10-20 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 5.03 → 4.98 2026-10-19 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 4.12 → 4.27 2026-10-19 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 4.77 → 5.03 2026-10-16 New York Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q3 2.65 → 2.67 2026-10-16 New York Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q4 2.83 → 2.82 2026-10-16 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 4.15 → 4.12 2026-10-16 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 4.82 → 4.77 2026-10-15 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q3 1.92 → 1.97 2026-10-15 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 4.06 → 4.15 2026-10-15 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 4.50 → 4.82 2026-10-15 Cleveland Fed U.S. core CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 2.56 → 3.02 2026-10-15 Cleveland Fed U.S. core PCE inflation, 2026 Q3 2.29 → 2.33 2026-10-15 Cleveland Fed U.S. core PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 3.05 → 3.15 2026-10-15 New York Fed U.S. one-year inflation expectation, 1 year ahead 3.6 percent → 3.9 percent 2026-10-14 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 4.00 → 4.06 2026-10-14 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 4.39 → 4.50 2026-10-12 NABE U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 full year 2% → 2.1% 2026-10-12 NABE U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 full year 4.4% → 4.2% 2026-10-12 NABE U.S. core PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 3.2% → 3.3% 2026-10-10 New York Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q3 2.46 → 2.65 2026-10-10 New York Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q4 2.54 → 2.83 2026-10-10 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 3.85 → 4.00 2026-10-10 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 4.12 → 4.39 2026-10-09 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 3.86 → 3.85 2026-10-09 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 4.14 → 4.12 2026-10-08 IMF U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 full year 3.2 → 3.4 2026-10-08 IMF U.S. real GDP growth, 2028 full year 3.2 → 3.3 2026-10-08 Atlanta Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q3 3.7 percent → 3.6 percent 2026-10-08 IMF U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 full year 2.1 → 2.3 2026-10-08 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 3.84 → 3.86 2026-10-08 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 4.10 → 4.14 2026-10-08 IMF U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 full year 3.2 → 3.6 2026-10-08 IMF U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2027 full year 2.1 → 2.8 2026-10-08 IMF U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2028 full year 2.2 → 2.1 2026-10-08 IMF U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2029 full year 2.2 → 1.9 2026-10-07 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 3.79 → 3.84 2026-10-07 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 4.01 → 4.10 2026-10-06 EIA U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 full year 2.4 → 2.6 2026-10-06 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 4.02 → 4.01 2026-10-06 EIA Brent crude oil price, 2026 full year 91 → $96 2026-10-06 EIA Brent crude oil price, 2027 full year 74 → $84/b 2026-10-06 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, 2026 full year 3.84 → $3.91 2026-10-06 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, 2027 full year 3.35 → just under $3.60/gal 2026-10-06 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, 2026 full year 3.43 → 3.48 2026-10-06 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, 2027 full year 3.28 → $3.16 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) in 2027 2026-10-03 New York Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q3 2.33 → 2.46 2026-10-03 New York Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q4 2.6 → 2.54 2026-10-03 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q4 3.91 → 3.79 2026-10-03 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 4.24 → 4.02 2026-10-01 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q3 2.55 → 1.92 2026-10-01 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q3 1.53 → 1.57 2026-10-01 Cleveland Fed U.S. core PCE inflation, 2026 Q3 3.00 → 2.29 2026-10-01 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, April 2027 76 → 86 2026-10-01 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, August 2027 66 → 76 2026-10-01 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, December 2026 84.5 → 94 2026-10-01 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, December 2027 58 → 68 2026-10-01 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, February 2027 81 → 91 2026-10-01 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, January 2027 83 → 93 2026-10-01 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, July 2027 68 → 78 2026-10-01 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, June 2027 70 → 80 2026-10-01 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, March 2027 79 → 89 2026-10-01 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, May 2027 73 → 83 2026-10-01 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, November 2026 86.5 → 97 2026-10-01 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, November 2027 60 → 70 2026-10-01 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, October 2026 87 → 100 2026-10-01 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, October 2027 62 → 72 2026-10-01 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, September 2027 64 → 74 2026-10-01 EIA Brent crude oil price, April 2027 80 → 90 2026-10-01 EIA Brent crude oil price, August 2027 70 → 80 2026-10-01 EIA Brent crude oil price, December 2026 89 → 99 2026-10-01 EIA Brent crude oil price, December 2027 62 → 72 2026-10-01 EIA Brent crude oil price, February 2027 85 → 95 2026-10-01 EIA Brent crude oil price, January 2027 87 → 97 2026-10-01 EIA Brent crude oil price, July 2027 72 → 82 2026-10-01 EIA Brent crude oil price, June 2027 74 → 84 2026-10-01 EIA Brent crude oil price, March 2027 83 → 93 2026-10-01 EIA Brent crude oil price, May 2027 77 → 87 2026-10-01 EIA Brent crude oil price, November 2026 91 → 104 2026-10-01 EIA Brent crude oil price, November 2027 64 → 74 2026-10-01 EIA Brent crude oil price, October 2026 92 → 111 2026-10-01 EIA Brent crude oil price, October 2027 66 → 76 2026-10-01 EIA Brent crude oil price, September 2027 68 → 78 2026-10-01 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, April 2027 3.5820189999999998 → 3.776932 2026-10-01 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, August 2027 3.345939 → 3.5694859999999999 2026-10-01 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, December 2026 3.67442 → 3.8570730000000002 2026-10-01 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, December 2027 2.8738229999999998 → 3.1078079999999999 2026-10-01 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, February 2027 3.4653740000000002 → 3.6510500000000001 2026-10-01 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, January 2027 3.539282 → 3.7209099999999999 2026-10-01 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, July 2027 3.433465 → 3.6498840000000001 2026-10-01 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, June 2027 3.5126909999999998 → 3.7229739999999998 2026-10-01 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, March 2027 3.5503719999999999 → 3.737781 2026-10-01 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, May 2027 3.5630890000000002 → 3.7662819999999999 2026-10-01 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, November 2026 4.0111319999999999 → 4.1965430000000001 2026-10-01 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, November 2027 3.0215160000000001 → 3.2545459999999999 2026-10-01 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, October 2026 4.1650489999999998 → 4.4044850000000002 2026-10-01 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, October 2027 3.1341860000000001 → 3.367397 2026-10-01 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, September 2027 3.2217989999999999 → 3.4503780000000002 2026-10-01 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, April 2027 2.72783 → 2.5947140000000002 2026-10-01 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, August 2027 3.1895370000000001 → 3.0789140000000002 2026-10-01 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, December 2026 3.51213 → 3.499933 2026-10-01 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, December 2027 4.0056380000000003 → 3.9023029999999999 2026-10-01 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, February 2027 3.6568700000000001 → 3.5052029999999998 2026-10-01 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, January 2027 4.0278200000000002 → 4.0051949999999996 2026-10-01 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, July 2027 3.0584850000000001 → 2.9460480000000002 2026-10-01 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, June 2027 2.8618779999999999 → 2.7508530000000002 2026-10-01 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, March 2027 3.0733100000000002 → 2.9036430000000002 2026-10-01 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, May 2027 2.701835 → 2.5845899999999999 2026-10-01 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, November 2026 3.0082900000000001 → 3.2442790000000001 2026-10-01 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, November 2027 3.532038 → 3.4282270000000001 2026-10-01 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, October 2026 2.86449 → 3.1471710000000002 2026-10-01 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, October 2027 3.2452390000000002 → 3.1374550000000001 2026-10-01 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, September 2027 3.2401399999999998 → 3.1088640000000001 2026-09-30 Atlanta Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q3 5.0 percent → 3.7 percent 2026-09-29 Deloitte U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 full year 2.0% → 2.1% 2026-09-29 Deloitte U.S. real GDP growth, 2030 full year 2.1% → 2.3% 2026-09-29 Deloitte U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2026 full year 6.1% → 6.6% 2026-09-26 Atlanta Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q3 5.1 percent → 5.0 percent 2026-09-24 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q3 2.50 → 2.55 2026-09-24 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q3 1.44 → 1.53 2026-09-19 New York Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q3 2.2599999999999998 → 2.33 2026-09-19 New York Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q4 2.5099999999999998 → 2.6 2026-09-17 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q3 2.44 → 2.50 2026-09-17 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q3 1.35 → 1.44 2026-09-16 Atlanta Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q3 4.4 percent → 5.1 percent 2026-09-12 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q3 2.47 → 2.44 2026-09-12 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q3 1.24 → 1.35 2026-09-12 Cleveland Fed U.S. core CPI inflation, 2026 Q3 1.91 → 2.16 2026-09-11 Fannie Mae U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q4 2.2% → 2.1 2026-09-11 Fannie Mae U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 Q4 4.4% → 4.2 2026-09-11 Fannie Mae U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 full year 4.3 → 4.2 2026-09-11 Fannie Mae U.S. unemployment rate, 2027 full year 4.3 → 4.2 2026-09-11 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q3 2.51 → 2.47 2026-09-11 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q3 1.30 → 1.24 2026-09-11 Fannie Mae U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q4 3.3% → 3.4 2026-09-11 Fannie Mae U.S. nonfarm payroll growth, 2026 Q4 66K/mo → 65 2026-09-11 Fannie Mae U.S. nonfarm payroll growth, 2026 full year 0.5 → 0.9 2026-09-11 Fannie Mae U.S. nonfarm payroll growth, 2027 full year 0.5 → 0.8 2026-09-11 Fannie Mae Federal funds rate, 2026 Q4 3.6% → 4.0 2026-09-11 Fannie Mae Federal funds rate, 2026 full year 3.6 → 3.7 2026-09-11 Fannie Mae Federal funds rate, 2027 full year 3.6 → 4.1 2026-09-11 Fannie Mae U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2026 Q4 4.5% → 4.8 2026-09-11 Fannie Mae U.S. personal consumption growth, 2026 Q4 2.4% → 2.1 2026-09-10 Atlanta Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q3 4.7 percent → 4.4 percent 2026-09-10 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q3 2.50 → 2.51 2026-09-10 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q3 1.29 → 1.30 2026-09-09 EIA U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 full year 2.0 → 2.1 2026-09-09 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q3 2.49 → 2.50 2026-09-09 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q3 1.27 → 1.29 2026-09-09 EIA Brent crude oil price, 2026 full year 87 → 91 2026-09-09 EIA Brent crude oil price, 2027 full year $69/b → 74 2026-09-09 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, 2026 full year 3.78 → 3.84 2026-09-09 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, 2027 full year 3.29 → 3.35 2026-09-09 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, 2026 full year 3.44 → 3.43 2026-09-09 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, 2027 full year 3.31 → 3.28 2026-09-05 New York Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q3 2.2200000000000002 → 2.2599999999999998 2026-09-05 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q3 1.26 → 1.27 2026-09-04 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q3 2.48 → 2.49 2026-09-04 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q3 1.25 → 1.26 2026-09-03 Atlanta Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q3 4.8 percent → 4.7 percent 2026-09-03 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q3 2.39 → 2.48 2026-09-03 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q3 1.10 → 1.25 2026-09-03 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, April 2027 68 → 76 2026-09-03 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, August 2027 64 → 66 2026-09-03 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, December 2026 72 → 84.5 2026-09-03 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, December 2027 60 → 58 2026-09-03 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, February 2027 70 → 81 2026-09-03 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, January 2027 71 → 83 2026-09-03 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, July 2027 65 → 68 2026-09-03 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, June 2027 66 → 70 2026-09-03 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, March 2027 69 → 79 2026-09-03 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, May 2027 67 → 73 2026-09-03 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, November 2026 74 → 86.5 2026-09-03 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, November 2027 61 → 60 2026-09-03 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, October 2026 76 → 87 2026-09-03 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, September 2026 81 → 88 2026-09-03 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, September 2027 63 → 64 2026-09-03 EIA Brent crude oil price, April 2027 72 → 80 2026-09-03 EIA Brent crude oil price, August 2027 68 → 70 2026-09-03 EIA Brent crude oil price, December 2026 76 → 89 2026-09-03 EIA Brent crude oil price, December 2027 64 → 62 2026-09-03 EIA Brent crude oil price, February 2027 74 → 85 2026-09-03 EIA Brent crude oil price, January 2027 75 → 87 2026-09-03 EIA Brent crude oil price, July 2027 69 → 72 2026-09-03 EIA Brent crude oil price, June 2027 70 → 74 2026-09-03 EIA Brent crude oil price, March 2027 73 → 83 2026-09-03 EIA Brent crude oil price, May 2027 71 → 77 2026-09-03 EIA Brent crude oil price, November 2026 78 → 91 2026-09-03 EIA Brent crude oil price, November 2027 65 → 64 2026-09-03 EIA Brent crude oil price, October 2026 80 → 92 2026-09-03 EIA Brent crude oil price, September 2026 85 → 93 2026-09-03 EIA Brent crude oil price, September 2027 67 → 68 2026-09-03 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, April 2027 3.4539909999999998 → 3.5820189999999998 2026-09-03 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, August 2027 3.301199 → 3.345939 2026-09-03 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, December 2026 3.5394389999999998 → 3.67442 2026-09-03 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, December 2027 2.911791 → 2.8738229999999998 2026-09-03 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, February 2027 3.370654 → 3.4653740000000002 2026-09-03 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, January 2027 3.4236430000000002 → 3.539282 2026-09-03 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, July 2027 3.3677419999999998 → 3.433465 2026-09-03 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, June 2027 3.4304260000000002 → 3.5126909999999998 2026-09-03 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, March 2027 3.4350559999999999 → 3.5503719999999999 2026-09-03 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, May 2027 3.45228 → 3.5630890000000002 2026-09-03 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, November 2026 3.7259820000000001 → 4.0111319999999999 2026-09-03 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, November 2027 3.0383049999999998 → 3.0215160000000001 2026-09-03 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, October 2026 3.8982899999999998 → 4.1650489999999998 2026-09-03 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, October 2027 3.1302099999999999 → 3.1341860000000001 2026-09-03 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, September 2026 4.0297320000000001 → 4.0487029999999997 2026-09-03 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, September 2027 3.197613 → 3.2217989999999999 2026-09-03 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, April 2027 2.75589 → 2.72783 2026-09-03 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, August 2027 3.2214719999999999 → 3.1895370000000001 2026-09-03 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, December 2026 3.5469400000000002 → 3.51213 2026-09-03 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, December 2027 4.0468469999999996 → 4.0056380000000003 2026-09-03 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, February 2027 3.6928559999999999 → 3.6568700000000001 2026-09-03 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, January 2027 4.0668980000000001 → 4.0278200000000002 2026-09-03 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, July 2027 3.0865290000000001 → 3.0584850000000001 2026-09-03 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, June 2027 2.8899859999999999 → 2.8618779999999999 2026-09-03 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, March 2027 3.1042770000000002 → 3.0733100000000002 2026-09-03 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, May 2027 2.7299709999999999 → 2.701835 2026-09-03 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, November 2026 3.0068269999999999 → 3.0082900000000001 2026-09-03 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, November 2027 3.5715690000000002 → 3.532038 2026-09-03 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, October 2026 2.8725269999999998 → 2.86449 2026-09-03 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, October 2027 3.283528 → 3.2452390000000002 2026-09-03 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, September 2026 2.869615 → 2.8701300000000001 2026-09-03 EIA Henry Hub natural gas price, September 2027 3.2779859999999998 → 3.2401399999999998 2026-09-02 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q3 2.36 → 2.39 2026-09-02 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q3 1.05 → 1.10 2026-09-01 Atlanta Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q3 4.6 percent → 4.8 percent 2026-09-01 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q3 2.37 → 2.36 2026-09-01 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q3 1.07 → 1.05 2026-08-29 New York Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q3 2.27 → 2.2200000000000002 2026-08-29 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q3 2.34 → 2.37 2026-08-29 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q3 1.01 → 1.07 2026-08-28 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q3 2.35 → 2.34 2026-08-28 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q3 1.03 → 1.01 2026-08-26 Goldman Sachs U.S. real GDP growth, 2025 full year 2.5% → 1.7% 2026-08-26 Atlanta Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q3 4.0 percent → 4.6 percent 2026-08-26 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 Q3 2.58% → 2.35 2026-08-26 Cleveland Fed U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 Q3 1.48% → 1.03 2026-08-26 Cleveland Fed U.S. core CPI inflation, 2026 Q3 1.90% → 1.91 2026-08-26 Cleveland Fed U.S. core PCE inflation, 2026 Q3 3.18% → 3.00 2026-08-26 New York Fed U.S. one-year inflation expectation, 1 year ahead 3.5% → 3.6 percent 2026-08-18 Atlanta Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q3 5.8 percent → 4.0 percent 2026-08-14 Philadelphia Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q4 2.0 percent annualized growth → 2.3 percent 2026-08-14 Philadelphia Fed Probability of negative U.S. GDP growth, 2026 Q4 24.5% → 20.0 2026-08-11 EIA U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 full year 2.1 → 2.0 2026-08-11 EIA U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 full year 2.3 → 2.4 2026-08-11 EIA Brent crude oil price, 2026 Q3 $74/b in 3Q26 → around $85 per barrel (b) 2026-08-11 EIA Brent crude oil price, 2026 full year $82/bbl → 87 2026-08-11 EIA Brent crude oil price, 2027 full year $65/b in 2027 → $69/b 2026-08-11 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, 2026 full year $3.64/gal → 3.78 2026-08-11 EIA U.S. retail gasoline price, 2027 full year less than $3.10/gal in 2027 → 3.29 2026-08-06 EIA West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, October 2026 $67/bbl → 76 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2025 Q3 0.841 → 3.296 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2025 Q4 2.009 → 1.225 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2025 full year 1.739 → 2.02 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q1 1.963 → 2.939 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q2 2.459 → 1.987 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q3 2.107 → 2.085 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q4 2.117 → 1.901 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 full year 2.034 → 2.364 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 Q1 1.773 → 1.76 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 Q2 1.85 → 1.784 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 Q3 1.798 → 1.844 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 Q4 1.713 → 1.834 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 full year 1.935 → 1.861 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2028 Q1 1.881 → 1.847 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2028 Q2 1.735 → 1.777 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2028 Q3 1.684 → 1.723 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2028 Q4 1.72 → 1.741 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2028 full year 1.775 → 1.805 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2025 Q3 4.415 → 4.3 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2025 Q4 4.467 → 4.532 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2025 full year 4.287 → 4.274 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 Q1 4.517 → 4.549 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 Q2 4.478 → 4.558 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 Q3 4.349 → 4.56 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 Q4 4.225 → 4.557 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 full year 4.392 → 4.556 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2027 Q1 4.256 → 4.55 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2027 Q2 4.325 → 4.541 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2027 Q3 4.394 → 4.53 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2027 Q4 4.426 → 4.519 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2027 full year 4.35 → 4.535 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2028 Q1 4.426 → 4.507 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2028 Q2 4.426 → 4.49 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2028 Q3 4.426 → 4.469 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2028 Q4 4.425 → 4.446 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2028 full year 4.426 → 4.478 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2025 full year 2.74 → 2.62 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 full year 2.725 → 2.748 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2027 full year 2.088 → 2.409 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2028 full year 1.995 → 2.19 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2025 full year 2.827 → 2.767 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 full year 2.744 → 2.924 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2027 full year 2.249 → 2.547 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2028 full year 2.213 → 2.361 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. core CPI inflation, 2025 full year 3.064 → 3.008 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. core CPI inflation, 2026 full year 3.051 → 3.135 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. core CPI inflation, 2027 full year 2.377 → 2.576 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. core CPI inflation, 2028 full year 2.256 → 2.357 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. core PCE inflation, 2025 full year 2.973 → 2.825 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. core PCE inflation, 2026 full year 2.981 → 2.879 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. core PCE inflation, 2027 full year 2.217 → 2.444 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. core PCE inflation, 2028 full year 2.059 → 2.21 2026-02-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2025 Q3 4.33 → 4.293 2026-02-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2025 Q4 3.996 → 3.869 2026-02-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2025 full year 4.246 → 4.205 2026-02-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2026 Q1 3.663 → 3.639 2026-02-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2026 Q2 3.58 → 3.389 2026-02-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2026 Q3 3.58 → 3.389 2026-02-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2026 Q4 3.58 → 3.389 2026-02-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2026 full year 3.6 → 3.452 2026-02-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2027 Q1 3.413 → 3.389 2026-02-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2027 Q2 3.33 → 3.389 2026-02-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2027 Q3 3.33 → 3.389 2026-02-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2027 Q4 3.33 → 3.39 2026-02-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2027 full year 3.35 → 3.389 2026-02-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2028 Q1 3.33 → 3.39 2026-02-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2028 Q2 3.33 → 3.39 2026-02-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2028 Q3 3.33 → 3.39 2026-02-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2028 Q4 3.33 → 3.39 2026-02-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2028 full year 3.33 → 3.39 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2025 Q3 4.282 → 4.256 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2025 Q4 4.28 → 4.082 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2025 full year 4.344 → 4.288 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2026 Q1 4.24 → 4.059 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2026 Q2 4.216 → 4.093 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2026 Q3 4.177 → 4.156 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2026 Q4 4.132 → 4.197 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2026 full year 4.191 → 4.127 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2027 Q1 4.087 → 4.226 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2027 Q2 4.049 → 4.248 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2027 Q3 4.015 → 4.265 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2027 Q4 3.985 → 4.279 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2027 full year 4.034 → 4.254 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2028 Q1 3.957 → 4.29 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2028 Q2 3.932 → 4.3 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2028 Q3 3.91 → 4.308 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2028 Q4 3.89 → 4.315 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2028 full year 3.922 → 4.303 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2025 Q3 1.254 → 2.975 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2025 Q4 0.684 → 1.298 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2025 full year 1.989 → 2.524 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2026 Q1 1.244 → 1.391 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2026 Q2 2.041 → 2.261 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2026 Q3 1.855 → 1.928 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2026 Q4 1.57 → 1.794 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2026 full year 1.407 → 1.892 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2027 Q1 1.512 → 1.523 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2027 Q3 1.393 → 1.614 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2027 Q4 1.476 → 1.582 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2027 full year 1.56 → 1.662 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2028 Q1 1.797 → 1.712 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2028 Q2 1.541 → 1.607 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2028 Q3 1.543 → 1.602 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2028 Q4 1.341 → 1.566 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2028 full year 1.553 → 1.613 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2025 Q3 1.963 → 3.179 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2025 Q4 0.838 → 2.228 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2025 full year 4.043 → 4.09 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2026 Q1 3.4 → 3.332 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2026 Q2 3.465 → 3.815 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2026 Q3 3.435 → 4.156 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2026 Q4 3.409 → 4.15 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2026 full year 2.895 → 3.592 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2027 Q1 3.289 → 3.714 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2027 Q2 2.889 → 3.405 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2027 Q3 2.773 → 3.277 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2027 Q4 2.333 → 3.295 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2027 full year 3.139 → 3.716 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2028 Q1 1.846 → 3.021 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2028 Q2 1.611 → 2.672 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2028 Q3 1.52 → 2.527 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2028 Q4 1.507 → 2.553 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2028 full year 2.009 → 2.97 2026-02-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2025 Q3 68.5 → 65.74 2026-02-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2025 Q4 68.25 → 60.33 2026-02-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2025 full year 68.59 → 65.63 2026-02-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2026 Q1 68.07 → 58.7 2026-02-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2026 Q2 67.92 → 58.71 2026-02-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2026 Q3 67.83 → 59.05 2026-02-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2026 Q4 67.79 → 59.28 2026-02-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2026 full year 67.9 → 58.93 2026-02-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2027 Q1 67.79 → 59.66 2026-02-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2027 Q2 67.83 → 60.12 2026-02-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2027 Q3 67.93 → 60.68 2026-02-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2027 Q4 68.06 → 61.28 2026-02-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2027 full year 67.9 → 60.44 2026-02-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2028 Q1 68.24 → 61.91 2026-02-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2028 Q2 68.46 → 62.55 2026-02-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2028 Q3 68.7 → 63.19 2026-02-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2028 Q4 68.96 → 63.81 2026-02-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2028 full year 68.59 → 62.86 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2025 Q3 4.141 → 4.096 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2025 Q4 3.779 → 3.689 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2025 full year 4.09 → 4.056 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2026 Q1 3.509 → 3.469 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2026 Q2 3.462 → 3.281 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2026 Q3 3.458 → 3.289 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2026 Q4 3.406 → 3.278 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2026 full year 3.459 → 3.329 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2027 Q1 3.243 → 3.264 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2027 Q2 3.182 → 3.252 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2027 Q3 3.182 → 3.242 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2027 Q4 3.174 → 3.234 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2027 full year 3.195 → 3.248 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2028 Q1 3.166 → 3.226 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2028 Q2 3.16 → 3.219 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2028 Q3 3.154 → 3.213 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2028 Q4 3.125 → 3.208 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2028 full year 3.151 → 3.216 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2025 Q3 62.42 → 62.32 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2025 Q4 62.38 → 62.43 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2025 full year 62.44 → 62.42 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2026 Q1 62.35 → 62.41 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2026 Q2 62.31 → 62.39 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2026 Q3 62.28 → 62.36 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2026 Q4 62.26 → 62.35 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2026 full year 62.3 → 62.38 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2027 Q1 62.23 → 62.33 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2027 Q2 62.21 → 62.32 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2027 Q3 62.19 → 62.3 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2027 Q4 62.17 → 62.29 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2027 full year 62.2 → 62.31 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2028 Q1 62.15 → 62.28 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2028 Q2 62.13 → 62.27 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2028 Q3 62.08 → 62.25 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2028 Q4 62.03 → 62.24 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2028 full year 62.1 → 62.26 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. employment cost index growth, 2025 full year 3.501 → 3.471 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. employment cost index growth, 2027 full year 3.181 → 3.359 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. employment cost index growth, 2028 full year 2.965 → 3.133 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2025 Q3 1.549 → 4.251 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2025 Q4 1.385 → 2.169 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2025 full year 1.715 → 1.623 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2026 Q1 1.576 → 1.965 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2026 Q2 1.629 → 1.294 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2026 Q3 1.508 → 1.463 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2026 Q4 1.493 → 1.561 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2026 full year 1.542 → 2.15 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2027 Q1 1.595 → 1.628 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2027 Q2 1.431 → 1.644 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2027 Q3 1.444 → 1.648 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2027 Q4 1.567 → 1.649 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2027 full year 1.516 → 1.581 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2028 Q1 1.547 → 1.649 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2028 Q2 1.361 → 1.649 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2028 Q3 1.433 → 1.649 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2028 Q4 1.496 → 1.65 2026-02-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2028 full year 1.478 → 1.649 2026-02-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2025 Q3 3.14 → 3.03 2026-02-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2025 Q4 3.53 → 3.69 2026-02-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2025 full year 3.52 → 3.51 2026-02-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2026 Q1 3.85 → 4.27 2026-02-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2026 Q2 3.26 → 3.77 2026-02-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2026 Q3 3.51 → 4.08 2026-02-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2026 Q4 3.86 → 4.41 2026-02-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2026 full year 3.96 → 4.13 2026-02-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2027 Q1 4.1 → 4.54 2026-02-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2027 Q2 3.26 → 3.57 2026-02-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2027 Q3 3.5 → 3.81 2026-02-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2027 Q4 3.89 → 4.14 2026-02-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2027 full year 4.04 → 4.02 2026-02-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2028 Q1 4.1 → 4.32 2026-02-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2028 Q2 3.17 → 3.35 2026-02-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2028 Q3 3.41 → 3.62 2026-02-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2028 Q4 3.75 → 3.96 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2025 Q3 1.885 → 0.841 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2025 Q4 1.734 → 2.009 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2025 full year 1.9% → 1.739 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q1 1.833 → 1.963 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q2 1.876 → 2.459 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q3 1.767 → 2.107 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q4 1.747 → 2.117 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 full year 1.827 → 2.034 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 Q1 1.818 → 1.773 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 Q2 1.691 → 1.85 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 Q3 1.704 → 1.798 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 Q4 1.804 → 1.713 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 full year 1.763 → 1.935 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2028 Q1 1.795 → 1.881 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2028 Q2 1.662 → 1.735 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2028 Q3 1.726 → 1.684 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2028 Q4 1.781 → 1.72 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2028 full year 1.744 → 1.775 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2025 Q3 4.294 → 4.415 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2025 Q4 4.325 → 4.467 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2025 full year 4.277 → 4.287 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 Q1 4.347 → 4.517 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 Q2 4.361 → 4.478 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 Q3 4.37 → 4.349 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 Q4 4.377 → 4.225 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 full year 4.364 → 4.392 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2027 Q1 4.382 → 4.256 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2027 Q2 4.389 → 4.325 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2027 Q3 4.398 → 4.394 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2027 Q4 4.403 → 4.426 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2027 full year 4.393 → 4.35 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2028 Q1 4.406 → 4.426 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2028 Q2 4.406 → 4.426 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2028 Q3 4.404 → 4.426 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2028 Q4 4.399 → 4.425 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2028 full year 4.404 → 4.426 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2025 full year 2.191 → 2.74 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 full year 2.12 → 2.725 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2027 full year 2.025 → 2.088 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2028 full year 2.0 → 1.995 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2025 full year 2.235 → 2.827 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 full year 2.441 → 2.744 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2027 full year 2.315 → 2.249 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2028 full year 2.257 → 2.213 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. core CPI inflation, 2025 full year 2.567 → 3.064 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. core CPI inflation, 2026 full year 2.397 → 3.051 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. core CPI inflation, 2027 full year 2.299 → 2.377 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. core CPI inflation, 2028 full year 2.283 → 2.256 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. core PCE inflation, 2025 full year 2.455 → 2.973 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. core PCE inflation, 2026 full year 2.137 → 2.981 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. core PCE inflation, 2027 full year 2.046 → 2.217 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. core PCE inflation, 2028 full year 2.041 → 2.059 2025-09-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2025 Q3 3.913 → 4.33 2025-09-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2025 Q4 3.746 → 3.996 2025-09-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2025 full year 4.017 → 4.246 2025-09-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2026 Q1 3.638 → 3.663 2025-09-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2026 Q2 3.512 → 3.58 2025-09-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2026 Q3 3.421 → 3.58 2025-09-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2026 Q4 3.365 → 3.58 2025-09-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2026 full year 3.484 → 3.6 2025-09-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2027 Q1 3.34 → 3.413 2025-09-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2027 Q2 3.339 → 3.33 2025-09-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2027 Q3 3.349 → 3.33 2025-09-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2027 Q4 3.363 → 3.33 2025-09-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2027 full year 3.348 → 3.35 2025-09-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2028 Q1 3.364 → 3.33 2025-09-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2028 Q2 3.361 → 3.33 2025-09-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2028 Q3 3.356 → 3.33 2025-09-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2028 Q4 3.35 → 3.33 2025-09-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2028 full year 3.358 → 3.33 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2025 Q3 4.03 → 4.282 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2025 Q4 3.985 → 4.28 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2025 full year 4.093 → 4.344 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2026 Q1 3.954 → 4.24 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2026 Q2 3.936 → 4.216 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2026 Q3 3.927 → 4.177 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2026 Q4 3.924 → 4.132 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2026 full year 3.935 → 4.191 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2027 Q1 3.921 → 4.087 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2027 Q2 3.917 → 4.049 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2027 Q3 3.913 → 4.015 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2027 Q4 3.908 → 3.985 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2027 full year 3.914 → 4.034 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2028 Q1 3.902 → 3.957 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2028 Q2 3.897 → 3.932 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2028 Q3 3.891 → 3.91 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2028 Q4 3.887 → 3.89 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2028 full year 3.894 → 3.922 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2025 Q3 1.797 → 1.254 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2025 Q4 1.605 → 0.684 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2025 full year 2.442 → 1.989 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2026 Q1 1.293 → 1.244 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2026 Q2 1.648 → 2.041 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2026 Q3 1.158 → 1.855 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2026 Q4 1.546 → 1.57 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2026 full year 1.558 → 1.407 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2027 Q1 1.754 → 1.512 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2027 Q2 1.325 → 1.399 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2027 Q3 1.313 → 1.393 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2027 Q4 1.528 → 1.476 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2027 full year 1.484 → 1.56 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2028 Q1 1.682 → 1.797 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2028 Q2 1.609 → 1.541 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2028 Q3 1.773 → 1.543 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2028 Q4 1.814 → 1.341 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2028 full year 1.591 → 1.553 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2025 Q3 2.259 → 1.963 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2025 Q4 2.707 → 0.838 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2025 full year 2.593 → 4.043 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2026 Q1 2.287 → 3.4 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2026 Q2 2.798 → 3.465 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2026 Q3 2.964 → 3.435 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2026 Q4 2.978 → 3.409 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2026 full year 2.581 → 2.895 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2027 Q1 2.641 → 3.289 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2027 Q2 2.977 → 2.889 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2027 Q3 2.723 → 2.773 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2027 Q4 2.68 → 2.333 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2027 full year 2.83 → 3.139 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2028 Q1 2.446 → 1.846 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2028 Q2 2.338 → 1.611 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2028 Q3 2.156 → 1.52 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2028 Q4 2.117 → 1.507 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2028 full year 2.479 → 2.009 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2025 Q3 3.73 → 4.141 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2025 Q4 3.573 → 3.779 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2025 full year 3.842 → 4.09 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2026 Q1 3.448 → 3.509 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2026 Q2 3.328 → 3.462 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2026 Q3 3.243 → 3.458 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2026 Q4 3.193 → 3.406 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2026 full year 3.303 → 3.459 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2027 Q1 3.171 → 3.243 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2027 Q2 3.169 → 3.182 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2027 Q3 3.175 → 3.182 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2027 Q4 3.18 → 3.174 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2027 full year 3.174 → 3.195 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2028 Q1 3.177 → 3.166 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2028 Q2 3.171 → 3.16 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2028 Q3 3.164 → 3.154 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2028 Q4 3.158 → 3.125 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2028 full year 3.167 → 3.151 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2025 Q3 62.632 → 62.42 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2025 Q4 62.587 → 62.38 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2025 full year 62.648 → 62.44 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2026 Q1 62.539 → 62.35 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2026 Q2 62.461 → 62.31 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2026 Q3 62.381 → 62.28 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2026 Q4 62.296 → 62.26 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2026 full year 62.419 → 62.3 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2027 Q1 62.219 → 62.23 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2027 Q2 62.145 → 62.21 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2027 Q3 62.076 → 62.19 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2027 Q4 62.012 → 62.17 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2027 full year 62.113 → 62.2 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2028 Q1 61.955 → 62.15 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2028 Q2 61.903 → 62.13 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2028 Q3 61.857 → 62.08 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2028 Q4 61.815 → 62.03 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2028 full year 61.882 → 62.1 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. employment cost index growth, 2025 full year 3.485 → 3.501 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. employment cost index growth, 2026 full year 3.355 → 3.416 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. employment cost index growth, 2027 full year 3.204 → 3.181 2025-09-01 CBO U.S. employment cost index growth, 2028 full year 3.099 → 2.965 2025-06-18 Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2025 Q4 1.7% → 1.4% 2025-06-18 Fed U.S. unemployment rate, 2025 Q4 4.4% → 4.5% 2025-06-18 Fed U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2025 Q4 2.7% → 3.0% 2025-01-17 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2025 full year 2.124 → 1.9% 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2024 Q4 1.931 → 1.945 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2024 full year 2.59 → 2.734 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2025 Q1 2.008 → 1.985 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2025 Q2 2.127 → 2.027 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2025 Q3 2.097 → 1.885 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2025 Q4 1.917 → 1.734 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2025 full year 2.057 → 2.124 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q1 1.681 → 1.833 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q2 1.702 → 1.876 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q3 1.817 → 1.767 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q4 1.828 → 1.747 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 full year 1.835 → 1.827 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 Q1 1.742 → 1.818 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 Q2 1.681 → 1.691 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 Q3 1.693 → 1.704 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 Q4 1.705 → 1.804 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 full year 1.745 → 1.763 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2024 Q4 3.932 → 4.185 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2024 full year 3.882 → 4.046 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2025 Q1 3.957 → 4.229 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2025 Q2 3.957 → 4.259 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2025 Q3 3.975 → 4.294 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2025 Q4 4.004 → 4.325 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2025 full year 3.973 → 4.277 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 Q1 4.078 → 4.347 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 Q2 4.137 → 4.361 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 Q3 4.187 → 4.37 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 Q4 4.228 → 4.377 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 full year 4.158 → 4.364 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2027 Q1 4.27 → 4.382 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2027 Q2 4.305 → 4.389 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2027 Q3 4.34 → 4.398 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2027 Q4 4.372 → 4.403 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2027 full year 4.322 → 4.393 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2024 full year 2.666 → 2.496 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2025 full year 2.196 → 2.191 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 full year 1.991 → 2.12 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2027 full year 1.912 → 2.025 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2024 full year 3.193 → 2.923 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2025 full year 2.43 → 2.235 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 full year 2.232 → 2.441 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2027 full year 2.155 → 2.315 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. core CPI inflation, 2024 full year 3.577 → 3.415 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. core CPI inflation, 2025 full year 2.73 → 2.567 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. core CPI inflation, 2026 full year 2.395 → 2.397 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. core CPI inflation, 2027 full year 2.283 → 2.299 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. core PCE inflation, 2024 full year 2.873 → 2.81 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. core PCE inflation, 2025 full year 2.437 → 2.455 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. core PCE inflation, 2026 full year 2.143 → 2.137 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. core PCE inflation, 2027 full year 2.022 → 2.046 2025-01-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2024 Q4 5.331 → 4.649 2025-01-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2024 full year 5.33 → 5.143 2025-01-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2025 Q1 5.209 → 4.329 2025-01-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2025 Q2 4.96 → 4.079 2025-01-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2025 Q3 4.71 → 3.913 2025-01-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2025 Q4 4.46 → 3.746 2025-01-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2025 full year 4.835 → 4.017 2025-01-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2026 Q1 4.21 → 3.638 2025-01-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2026 Q2 3.96 → 3.512 2025-01-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2026 Q3 3.71 → 3.421 2025-01-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2026 Q4 3.46 → 3.365 2025-01-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2026 full year 3.835 → 3.484 2025-01-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2027 Q1 3.38 → 3.34 2025-01-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2027 Q2 3.288 → 3.339 2025-01-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2027 Q3 3.211 → 3.349 2025-01-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2027 Q4 3.146 → 3.363 2025-01-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2027 full year 3.256 → 3.348 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2024 Q4 4.416 → 4.202 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2024 full year 4.453 → 4.188 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2025 Q1 4.328 → 4.245 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2025 Q2 4.142 → 4.113 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2025 Q3 4.011 → 4.03 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2025 Q4 3.877 → 3.985 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2025 full year 4.09 → 4.093 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2026 Q1 3.766 → 3.954 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2026 Q2 3.687 → 3.936 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2026 Q3 3.621 → 3.927 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2026 Q4 3.576 → 3.924 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2026 full year 3.663 → 3.935 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2027 Q1 3.578 → 3.921 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2027 Q2 3.585 → 3.917 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2027 Q3 3.596 → 3.913 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2027 Q4 3.611 → 3.908 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2027 full year 3.593 → 3.914 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2024 Q4 1.455 → 2.752 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2024 full year 2.735 → 2.656 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2025 Q1 1.589 → 2.025 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2025 Q2 1.586 → 2.566 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2025 Q3 1.46 → 1.797 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2025 Q4 1.376 → 1.605 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2025 full year 1.768 → 2.442 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2026 Q1 0.94 → 1.293 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2026 Q2 1.206 → 1.648 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2026 Q3 1.387 → 1.158 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2026 Q4 1.536 → 1.546 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2026 full year 1.27 → 1.558 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2027 Q1 1.404 → 1.754 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2027 Q2 1.458 → 1.325 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2027 Q3 1.494 → 1.313 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2027 Q4 1.545 → 1.528 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2027 full year 1.445 → 1.484 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2024 Q4 2.557 → 0.118 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2024 full year 2.189 → 3.778 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2025 Q1 2.305 → 4.019 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2025 Q2 3.226 → 2.191 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2025 Q3 3.316 → 2.259 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2025 Q4 3.273 → 2.707 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2025 full year 2.689 → 2.593 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2026 Q1 2.574 → 2.287 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2026 Q2 3.496 → 2.798 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2026 Q3 3.666 → 2.964 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2026 Q4 3.896 → 2.978 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2026 full year 3.231 → 2.581 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2027 Q1 3.321 → 2.641 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2027 Q2 3.688 → 2.977 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2027 Q3 3.683 → 2.723 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2027 Q4 3.476 → 2.68 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. business fixed investment growth, 2027 full year 3.606 → 2.83 2025-01-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2024 Q4 80.88 → 70.67 2025-01-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2024 full year 81.56 → 76.55 2025-01-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2025 Q1 79.25 → 68.9 2025-01-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2025 Q2 77.9 → 68.69 2025-01-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2025 Q3 76.8 → 68.5 2025-01-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2025 Q4 75.9 → 68.25 2025-01-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2025 full year 77.46 → 68.59 2025-01-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2026 Q1 75.13 → 68.07 2025-01-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2026 Q2 74.46 → 67.92 2025-01-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2026 Q3 73.89 → 67.83 2025-01-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2026 Q4 73.42 → 67.79 2025-01-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2026 full year 74.22 → 67.9 2025-01-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2027 Q1 73.05 → 67.79 2025-01-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2027 Q2 72.77 → 67.83 2025-01-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2027 Q3 72.59 → 67.93 2025-01-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2027 Q4 72.48 → 68.06 2025-01-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2027 full year 72.72 → 67.9 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2024 Q4 5.116 → 4.43 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2024 full year 5.196 → 4.974 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2025 Q1 4.927 → 4.152 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2025 Q2 4.668 → 3.913 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2025 Q3 4.414 → 3.73 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2025 Q4 4.163 → 3.573 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2025 full year 4.543 → 3.842 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2026 Q1 3.916 → 3.448 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2026 Q2 3.67 → 3.328 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2026 Q3 3.427 → 3.243 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2026 Q4 3.247 → 3.193 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2026 full year 3.565 → 3.303 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2027 Q1 3.162 → 3.171 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2027 Q2 3.077 → 3.169 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2027 Q3 3.006 → 3.175 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2027 Q4 2.946 → 3.18 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2027 full year 3.048 → 3.174 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2024 Q4 62.367 → 62.712 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2024 full year 62.459 → 62.644 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2025 Q1 62.322 → 62.704 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2025 Q2 62.271 → 62.671 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2025 Q3 62.229 → 62.632 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2025 Q4 62.191 → 62.587 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2025 full year 62.253 → 62.648 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2026 Q1 62.143 → 62.539 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2026 Q2 62.099 → 62.461 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2026 Q3 62.059 → 62.381 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2026 Q4 62.021 → 62.296 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2026 full year 62.081 → 62.419 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2027 Q1 61.986 → 62.219 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2027 Q2 61.951 → 62.145 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2027 Q3 61.918 → 62.076 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2027 Q4 61.887 → 62.012 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2027 full year 61.936 → 62.113 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. employment cost index growth, 2024 full year 4.138 → 3.947 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. employment cost index growth, 2025 full year 3.707 → 3.485 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. employment cost index growth, 2026 full year 3.388 → 3.355 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. employment cost index growth, 2027 full year 3.222 → 3.204 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2024 Q4 1.591 → 0.965 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2024 full year 2.205 → 2.199 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2025 Q1 1.777 → 2.09 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2025 Q2 1.903 → 1.713 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2025 Q3 1.682 → 1.549 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2025 Q4 1.612 → 1.385 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2025 full year 1.753 → 1.715 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2026 Q1 1.631 → 1.576 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2026 Q2 1.519 → 1.629 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2026 Q3 1.681 → 1.508 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2026 Q4 1.707 → 1.493 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2026 full year 1.641 → 1.542 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2027 Q1 1.604 → 1.595 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2027 Q2 1.525 → 1.431 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2027 Q3 1.537 → 1.444 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2027 Q4 1.529 → 1.567 2025-01-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2027 full year 1.6 → 1.516 2025-01-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2024 Q4 3.0 → 2.38 2025-01-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2025 Q1 3.54 → 2.93 2025-01-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2025 Q2 3.15 → 2.82 2025-01-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2025 Q3 3.48 → 3.14 2025-01-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2025 Q4 3.9 → 3.53 2025-01-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2026 Q1 4.25 → 3.85 2025-01-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2026 Q2 3.52 → 3.26 2025-01-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2026 Q3 3.83 → 3.51 2025-01-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2026 Q4 4.23 → 3.86 2025-01-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2027 Q1 4.52 → 4.1 2025-01-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2027 Q2 3.55 → 3.26 2025-01-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2027 Q3 3.84 → 3.5 2025-01-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2027 Q4 4.25 → 3.89 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2024 Q2 1.389 → 2.36 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2024 Q3 1.662 → 2.119 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2024 Q4 1.742 → 1.931 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2024 full year 1.82 → 2.59 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2025 Q1 1.965 → 2.008 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2025 Q2 2.248 → 2.127 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2025 Q3 2.284 → 2.097 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2025 Q4 2.406 → 1.917 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2025 full year 1.971 → 2.057 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q1 2.157 → 1.681 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q2 2.165 → 1.702 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q3 2.152 → 1.817 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q4 2.134 → 1.828 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 full year 2.224 → 1.835 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 Q1 2.184 → 1.742 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 Q2 2.148 → 1.681 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 Q3 2.128 → 1.693 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 Q4 2.106 → 1.705 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. real GDP growth, 2027 full year 2.151 → 1.745 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2024 Q2 4.11 → 3.881 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2024 Q3 4.246 → 3.915 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2024 Q4 4.371 → 3.932 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2024 full year 4.175 → 3.882 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2025 Q1 4.409 → 3.957 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2025 Q2 4.403 → 3.957 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2025 Q3 4.375 → 3.975 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2025 Q4 4.354 → 4.004 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2025 full year 4.385 → 3.973 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 Q1 4.344 → 4.078 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 Q2 4.343 → 4.137 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 Q3 4.349 → 4.187 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 Q4 4.357 → 4.228 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 full year 4.348 → 4.158 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2027 Q1 4.366 → 4.27 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2027 Q2 4.374 → 4.305 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2027 Q3 4.381 → 4.34 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2027 Q4 4.388 → 4.372 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. unemployment rate, 2027 full year 4.377 → 4.322 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2024 full year 2.202 → 2.666 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2025 full year 2.208 → 2.196 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2026 full year 2.114 → 1.991 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. headline PCE inflation, 2027 full year 2.011 → 1.912 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2024 full year 2.597 → 3.193 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2025 full year 2.515 → 2.43 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2026 full year 2.325 → 2.232 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. headline CPI inflation, 2027 full year 2.188 → 2.155 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. core CPI inflation, 2024 full year 3.103 → 3.577 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. core CPI inflation, 2025 full year 2.736 → 2.73 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. core CPI inflation, 2026 full year 2.462 → 2.395 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. core CPI inflation, 2027 full year 2.276 → 2.283 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. core PCE inflation, 2024 full year 2.5 → 2.873 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. core PCE inflation, 2025 full year 2.37 → 2.437 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. core PCE inflation, 2026 full year 2.22 → 2.143 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. core PCE inflation, 2027 full year 2.079 → 2.022 2024-06-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2024 Q2 5.208 → 5.33 2024-06-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2024 Q3 4.958 → 5.33 2024-06-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2024 Q4 4.708 → 5.331 2024-06-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2024 full year 5.062 → 5.33 2024-06-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2025 Q1 4.458 → 5.209 2024-06-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2025 Q2 4.208 → 4.96 2024-06-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2025 Q3 3.958 → 4.71 2024-06-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2025 Q4 3.708 → 4.46 2024-06-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2025 full year 4.083 → 4.835 2024-06-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2026 Q1 3.458 → 4.21 2024-06-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2026 Q2 3.374 → 3.96 2024-06-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2026 Q3 3.291 → 3.71 2024-06-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2026 Q4 3.125 → 3.46 2024-06-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2026 full year 3.312 → 3.835 2024-06-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2027 Q1 3.124 → 3.38 2024-06-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2027 Q2 2.958 → 3.288 2024-06-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2027 Q3 2.874 → 3.211 2024-06-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2027 Q4 2.874 → 3.146 2024-06-01 CBO Federal funds rate, 2027 full year 2.958 → 3.256 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2024 Q2 4.644 → 4.69 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2024 Q3 4.766 → 4.546 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2024 Q4 4.819 → 4.416 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2024 full year 4.608 → 4.453 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2025 Q1 4.811 → 4.328 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2025 Q2 4.664 → 4.142 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2025 Q3 4.511 → 4.011 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2025 Q4 4.315 → 3.877 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2025 full year 4.575 → 4.09 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2026 Q1 4.125 → 3.766 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2026 Q2 4.006 → 3.687 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2026 Q3 3.862 → 3.621 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2026 Q4 3.739 → 3.576 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2026 full year 3.933 → 3.663 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2027 Q1 3.741 → 3.578 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2027 Q2 3.748 → 3.585 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2027 Q3 3.757 → 3.596 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2027 Q4 3.771 → 3.611 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, 2027 full year 3.754 → 3.593 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2024 Q2 1.079 → 3.444 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2024 Q3 1.4 → 2.563 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2024 Q4 1.538 → 1.455 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2024 full year 1.633 → 2.735 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2025 Q1 1.917 → 1.589 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2025 Q2 1.834 → 1.586 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2025 Q3 1.814 → 1.46 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2025 Q4 1.901 → 1.376 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2025 full year 1.7 → 1.768 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2026 Q1 1.404 → 0.94 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2026 Q2 1.621 → 1.206 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2026 Q3 1.628 → 1.387 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2026 Q4 1.751 → 1.536 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2026 full year 1.665 → 1.27 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2027 Q1 1.953 → 1.404 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2027 Q2 1.903 → 1.458 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2027 Q3 2.055 → 1.494 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2027 Q4 2.103 → 1.545 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. personal consumption growth, 2027 full year 1.867 → 1.445 2024-06-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2024 Q2 75.87 → 85.03 2024-06-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2024 Q3 75.55 → 82.79 2024-06-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2024 Q4 74.86 → 80.88 2024-06-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2024 full year 75.45 → 81.56 2024-06-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2025 Q1 74.19 → 79.25 2024-06-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2025 Q2 73.51 → 77.9 2024-06-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2025 Q3 72.86 → 76.8 2024-06-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2025 Q4 72.27 → 75.9 2024-06-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2025 full year 73.21 → 77.46 2024-06-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2026 Q1 71.74 → 75.13 2024-06-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2026 Q2 71.26 → 74.46 2024-06-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2026 Q3 70.84 → 73.89 2024-06-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2026 Q4 70.5 → 73.42 2024-06-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2026 full year 71.08 → 74.22 2024-06-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2027 Q1 70.24 → 73.05 2024-06-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2027 Q2 70.05 → 72.77 2024-06-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2027 Q3 69.93 → 72.59 2024-06-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2027 Q4 69.87 → 72.48 2024-06-01 CBO West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, 2027 full year 70.02 → 72.72 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2024 Q2 5.007 → 5.24 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2024 Q3 4.735 → 5.195 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2024 Q4 4.471 → 5.116 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2024 full year 4.862 → 5.196 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2025 Q1 4.212 → 4.927 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2025 Q2 3.958 → 4.668 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2025 Q3 3.707 → 4.414 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2025 Q4 3.459 → 4.163 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2025 full year 3.834 → 4.543 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2026 Q1 3.268 → 3.916 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2026 Q2 3.182 → 3.67 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2026 Q3 3.07 → 3.427 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2026 Q4 2.963 → 3.247 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2026 full year 3.121 → 3.565 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2027 Q1 2.904 → 3.162 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2027 Q2 2.771 → 3.077 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2027 Q3 2.717 → 3.006 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2027 Q4 2.715 → 2.946 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rate, 2027 full year 2.777 → 3.048 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2024 Q2 62.654 → 62.478 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2024 Q3 62.597 → 62.412 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2024 Q4 62.508 → 62.367 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2024 full year 62.618 → 62.459 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2025 Q1 62.519 → 62.322 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2025 Q2 62.49 → 62.271 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2025 Q3 62.469 → 62.229 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2025 Q4 62.412 → 62.191 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2025 full year 62.473 → 62.253 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2026 Q1 62.404 → 62.143 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2026 Q2 62.357 → 62.099 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2026 Q3 62.315 → 62.059 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2026 Q4 62.275 → 62.021 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2026 full year 62.338 → 62.081 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2027 Q1 62.242 → 61.986 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2027 Q2 62.212 → 61.951 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2027 Q3 62.182 → 61.918 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2027 Q4 62.152 → 61.887 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. labor force participation rate, 2027 full year 62.197 → 61.936 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. employment cost index growth, 2024 full year 3.875 → 4.138 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. employment cost index growth, 2025 full year 3.478 → 3.707 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. employment cost index growth, 2026 full year 3.33 → 3.388 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. employment cost index growth, 2027 full year 3.164 → 3.222 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2024 Q2 1.241 → 2.141 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2024 Q3 2.032 → 1.671 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2024 Q4 2.036 → 1.591 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2024 full year 1.574 → 2.205 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2025 Q1 1.119 → 1.777 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2025 Q2 1.449 → 1.903 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2025 Q3 1.26 → 1.682 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2025 Q4 1.689 → 1.612 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2025 full year 1.527 → 1.753 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2026 Q1 1.532 → 1.631 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2026 Q2 1.926 → 1.519 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2026 Q3 1.971 → 1.681 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2026 Q4 1.981 → 1.707 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2026 full year 1.679 → 1.641 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2027 Q1 2.03 → 1.604 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2027 Q2 2.018 → 1.525 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2027 Q3 2.066 → 1.537 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2027 Q4 2.121 → 1.529 2024-06-01 CBO U.S. nonfarm productivity growth, 2027 full year 2.015 → 1.6 2024-06-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2024 Q2 2.72 → 1.79 2024-06-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2024 Q3 3.01 → 2.41 2024-06-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2024 Q4 3.51 → 3.0 2024-06-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2024 full year 3.01 → 2.33 2024-06-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2025 Q1 4.07 → 3.54 2024-06-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2025 Q2 3.51 → 3.15 2024-06-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2025 Q3 3.74 → 3.48 2024-06-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2025 Q4 4.16 → 3.9 2024-06-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2025 full year 3.87 → 3.52 2024-06-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2026 Q1 4.52 → 4.25 2024-06-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2026 Q2 3.59 → 3.52 2024-06-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2026 Q3 3.8 → 3.83 2024-06-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2026 Q4 4.2 → 4.23 2024-06-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2026 full year 4.03 → 3.96 2024-06-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2027 Q1 4.5 → 4.52 2024-06-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2027 Q2 3.51 → 3.55 2024-06-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2027 Q3 3.72 → 3.84 2024-06-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2027 Q4 4.14 → 4.25 2024-06-01 CBO Henry Hub natural gas price, 2027 full year 3.97 → 4.04 1.00% 1.96% 2.40% CONSENSUS MAY 25 FEB 26 NOV 26 EIA · 2.4 · 2026-11-10 IMF · 2.3 · 2026-10-08 EIA · 2.1 · 2026-10-06 Deloitte · 2.1% · 2026-09-29 Fannie Mae · 2.0 · 2026-09-11 EIA · 2.1 · 2026-09-09 EIA · 2.0 · 2026-08-11 EIA · 2.1 · 2026-07-07 Deloitte · 2.0% · 2026-07-01 IMF · 2.3 · 2026-04-08 Morgan Stanley · 1% in 2026 · 2025-05-28 Morgan Stanley 1% in 2026 Emphasised Other institutions Consensus
Institution Reported Forecast U.S. Energy Information Administration “U.S. GDP <br>(percentage change) | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.8” 2026-11-10 2.4 International Monetary Fund “{"indicator":"NGDP_RPCH","area":"USA","year":"2026","value":2.3}” 2026-10-08 2.3 U.S. Energy Information Administration “| U.S. GDP <br>(percentage change) | 2.8 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.6 |” 2026-10-06 2.1 Deloitte “We expect real GDP growth to slow modestly from 2.1% in 2026 to 1.9% in 2028.” 2026-09-29 2.1% Fannie Mae “| Gross Domestic Product | -0.6 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 |” 2026-09-11 2.0 U.S. Energy Information Administration “| U.S. GDP <br>(percentage change) | 2.8 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.4 |” 2026-09-09 2.1 U.S. Energy Information Administration “| U.S. GDP <br>(percentage change) | 2.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.4 |” 2026-08-11 2.0 U.S. Energy Information Administration “| U.S. GDP <br>(percentage change) | 2.8 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.3 |” 2026-07-07 2.1 Deloitte “Real GDP is still expected to grow by a healthy 2.0% in 2026, before slipping to 1.8% in 2027, when consumer spending is on a more sustainable footing and AI-related investment growth moderates a bit.” 2026-07-01 2.0% International Monetary Fund “{"indicator":"NGDP_RPCH","area":"USA","year":"2026","value":2.3}” 2026-04-08 2.3 Morgan Stanley “After growing 2.8% in 2024 (2.5% 4Q/4Q), U.S. economic growth is likely to slow to 1.5% (1% 4Q/4Q) this year and 1% in 2026.” 2025-05-28 1% in 2026
Readout Annual growth Consensus 1.96% Spread +1.40% Low 1.00% High 2.40% Reporting 5