PLANETARYINSIGHTS

    Real GDP growth 2026 full year 2.1 2.4 ▲ EIAReal GDP growth 2027 full year 2.6 2.8 ▲ EIAHeadline PCE inflation 2026 Q4 3.95 3.94 ▼ Cleveland FedHeadline CPI inflation 2026 Q4 4.24 4.40 ▲ Cleveland FedCore CPI inflation 2026 Q4 3.02 3.40 ▲ Cleveland FedCore PCE inflation 2026 Q4 3.33 3.38 ▲ Cleveland Fed

    J.P. Morgan

    A global bank publishing research on economic growth, labor markets, inflation, and financial conditions.

    Bank · United StatesNew York, New York2 reports6 figuresInstitution website ↗

    U.S. business fixed investment growth

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    PeriodReportedForecast
    2025 full year“Other signs point to an economy that’s in good shape. For instance, U.S. business and residential investment are both projected to increase around 3% despite elevated long-term interest rates.” — Section “What’s the US growth outlook?”, paragraph beginning “Other signs point to an economy” · source ↗2025-02-283%

    U.S. real GDP growth

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    PeriodReportedForecast
    2025 full year“According to J.P. Morgan Research, however, U.S. GDP growth is set to slow slightly this year to 2.4% in 2025, down from 2.8% in 2024 (on a full-year basis), while the unemployment rate is forecast to gradually increase to a peak of 4.2% around the middle of the year, up from January’s reading of 4.0%.” — Section “What’s the US growth outlook?”, paragraph beginning “According to J.P. Morgan Research” · source ↗2025-02-282.4%
    2025 full year“GDP growth is set to slow slightly this year to 2.4% in 2025, down from 2.8% in 2024 (on a full-year basis)” — The global outlook for 2025 · source ↗2025-02-282.4%

    U.S. residential investment growth

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    PeriodReportedForecast
    2025 full year“Other signs point to an economy that’s in good shape. For instance, U.S. business and residential investment are both projected to increase around 3% despite elevated long-term interest rates.” — What’s the US growth outlook? section · source ↗2025-02-28around 3%

    U.S. unemployment rate

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    PeriodReportedForecast
    2025 Q2“According to J.P. Morgan Research, however, U.S. GDP growth is set to slow slightly this year to 2.4% in 2025, down from 2.8% in 2024 (on a full-year basis), while the unemployment rate is forecast to gradually increase to a peak of 4.2% around the middle of the year, up from January’s reading of 4.0%.” — What's the US growth outlook section, paragraph 2 · source ↗2025-02-284.2%
    2025 full year“According to J.P. Morgan Research, however, U.S. GDP growth is set to slow slightly this year to 2.4% in 2025, down from 2.8% in 2024 (on a full-year basis), while the unemployment rate is forecast to gradually increase to a peak of 4.2% around the middle of the year, up from January’s reading of 4.0%.” — What’s the US growth outlook? section, paragraph beginning “According to J.P. Morgan Research” · source ↗2025-02-284.2%