J.P. Morgan
A global bank publishing research on economic growth, labor markets, inflation, and financial conditions.
Bank · United StatesNew York, New York2 reports3 figuresInstitution website ↗
| Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 full year“Other signs point to an economy that’s in good shape. For instance, U.S. business and residential investment are both projected to increase around 3% despite elevated long-term interest rates.” — Section “What’s the US growth outlook?”, paragraph beginning “Other signs point to an economy” · source ↗ | 2025-02-28 | 3% |
| Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 full year“GDP growth is set to slow slightly this year to 2.4% in 2025, down from 2.8% in 2024 (on a full-year basis)” — The global outlook for 2025 · source ↗ | 2025-02-28 | 2.4% |
| 2025 full year“According to J.P. Morgan Research, however, U.S. GDP growth is set to slow slightly this year to 2.4% in 2025, down from 2.8% in 2024 (on a full-year basis), while the unemployment rate is forecast to gradually increase to a peak of 4.2% around the middle of the year, up from January’s reading of 4.0%.” — Section “What’s the US growth outlook?”, paragraph beginning “According to J.P. Morgan Research” · source ↗ | 2025-02-28 | 2.4% |