PLANETARYINSIGHTS

    Real GDP growth 2026 full year 2.1 2.4 ▲ EIAReal GDP growth 2027 full year 2.6 2.8 ▲ EIAHeadline PCE inflation 2026 Q4 3.95 3.94 ▼ Cleveland FedHeadline CPI inflation 2026 Q4 4.24 4.40 ▲ Cleveland FedCore CPI inflation 2026 Q4 3.02 3.40 ▲ Cleveland FedCore PCE inflation 2026 Q4 3.33 3.38 ▲ Cleveland Fed

    Summary of Economic Projections — March 2025

    Median projections from Federal Reserve Board members and Reserve Bank presidents.

    Federal ReserveOpen source document ↗

    Published2025-03-19
    Extracted figures3
    Source classInstitution forecast
    Update cadenceQuarterly
    Available formatPDF table

    Reported figures

    Each with its source sentence
    MetricPeriodReportedForecast
    Real GDP growth2025 Q4“Change in real GDP 1.7” — Table 1, page 2 · 2025 median · source ↗2025-03-191.7%
    Unemployment rate2025 Q4“Unemployment rate 4.4” — Table 1, page 2 · 2025 median · source ↗2025-03-194.4%
    Headline PCE inflation2025 Q4“PCE inflation 2.7” — Table 1, page 2 · 2025 median · source ↗2025-03-192.7%