PLANETARYINSIGHTS

    Real GDP growth 2026 full year 2.1 2.4 ▲ EIAReal GDP growth 2027 full year 2.6 2.8 ▲ EIAHeadline PCE inflation 2026 Q4 3.95 3.94 ▼ Cleveland FedHeadline CPI inflation 2026 Q4 4.24 4.40 ▲ Cleveland FedCore CPI inflation 2026 Q4 3.02 3.40 ▲ Cleveland FedCore PCE inflation 2026 Q4 3.33 3.38 ▲ Cleveland Fed

    U.S. Economic Forecast — July 2026

    Wells Fargo Economics’ recurring U.S. economic and financial forecast table.

    Wells FargoOpen source document ↗

    Published2026-07-30
    Extracted figures17
    Source classInstitution forecast
    Update cadenceMonthly
    Available formatHTML + SVG table

    Reported figures

    Each with its source sentence
    MetricPeriodReportedForecast
    Real GDP growth2026 Q4“Real Gross Domestic Product (a) | 2026 4Q | 1.6” — U.S. Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-301.6%
    Unemployment rate2026 Q4“Unemployment Rate | 2026 4Q | 4.2” — U.S. Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-304.2%
    Headline PCE inflation2026 Q4“PCE Deflator | 2026 4Q | 3.4” — U.S. Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-303.4%
    Headline CPI inflation2026 Q4“Consumer Price Index | 2026 4Q | 3.1” — U.S. Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-303.1%
    Core CPI inflation2026 Q4“Core Consumer Price Index | 2026 4Q | 2.4” — U.S. Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-302.4%
    Core PCE inflation2026 Q4“Core PCE Deflator | 2026 4Q | 3.2” — U.S. Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-303.2%
    Payroll growth2026 Q4“Nonfarm Payroll Change (d) | 2026 4Q | 88” — U.S. Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-3088K/mo
    Federal funds rate2026 Q4“Federal Funds Target Rate (j) | 2026 4Q | 3.75” — U.S. Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-303.75%
    10-year Treasury yield2026 Q4“10 Year Note | 2026 4Q | 4.35” — U.S. Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-304.35%
    Personal consumption2026 Q4“Personal Consumption | 2026 4Q | 2.3” — U.S. Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-302.3%
    Business investment2026 Q4“Business Fixed Investment | 2026 4Q | 4.3” — U.S. Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-304.3%
    Housing starts2026 Q4“Housing Starts (e) | 2026 4Q | 1.3” — U.S. Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-301.3M
    Existing-home sales2026 Q4“Total Existing Home Sales (e) | 2026 4Q | 4.2” — U.S. Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-304.2M
    New-home sales2026 Q4“New Home Sales, Single-Family (f) | 2026 4Q | 629.2” — U.S. Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-30629.2K
    Home-price growth2026 Q4“S&P Case-Shiller National Home Price Index (b) | 2026 4Q | 0.5” — U.S. Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-300.5%
    30-year mortgage rate2026 Q4“Conventional Mortgage Rate | 2026 4Q | 6.30” — U.S. Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-306.30%
    Brent crude oil2026 Q4“Crude Oil - Brent - Front Contract (h) | 2026 4Q | 78.7” — U.S. Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-30$78.70/bbl