PLANETARYINSIGHTS

    Real GDP growth 2026 full year 2.1 2.4 ▲ EIAReal GDP growth 2027 full year 2.6 2.8 ▲ EIAHeadline PCE inflation 2026 Q4 3.95 3.94 ▼ Cleveland FedHeadline CPI inflation 2026 Q4 4.24 4.40 ▲ Cleveland FedCore CPI inflation 2026 Q4 3.02 3.40 ▲ Cleveland FedCore PCE inflation 2026 Q4 3.33 3.38 ▲ Cleveland Fed

    2025 Midyear Economic Outlook: A Widespread Deceleration

    Morgan Stanley Research’s midyear outlook for global and U.S. growth.

    Morgan StanleyOpen source document ↗

    Published2025-05-28
    Extracted figures2
    Source classInstitution forecast
    Update cadenceIrregular
    Available formatHTML narrative

    Reported figures

    Each with its source sentence
    MetricPeriodReportedForecast
    Real GDP growth2025 Q4“U.S. economic growth is likely to slow to 1.5% (1% 4Q/4Q) this year and 1% in 2026” — U.S. Growth and Inflation · source ↗2025-05-281.0%
    Real GDP growth2025 full year“U.S. economic growth is likely to slow to 1.5% (1% 4Q/4Q) this year and 1% in 2026” — U.S. Growth and Inflation · source ↗2025-05-281.5%