PLANETARYINSIGHTS

    Real GDP growth 2026 full year 2.1 2.4 ▲ EIAReal GDP growth 2027 full year 2.6 2.8 ▲ EIAHeadline PCE inflation 2026 Q4 3.95 3.94 ▼ Cleveland FedHeadline CPI inflation 2026 Q4 4.24 4.40 ▲ Cleveland FedCore CPI inflation 2026 Q4 3.02 3.40 ▲ Cleveland FedCore PCE inflation 2026 Q4 3.33 3.38 ▲ Cleveland Fed

    Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

    A regional Reserve Bank publishing GDPNow, a frequently updated model estimate of current-quarter U.S. growth.

    Government · United StatesAtlanta, Georgia23 reports23 figuresInstitution website ↗

    What they changed their mind about

    15 revisions
    2026-11-09U.S. real GDP growth 2026 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR3.4 percent→3.5 percent
    2026-11-04U.S. real GDP growth 2026 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR3.7 percent→3.4 percent
    2026-11-02U.S. real GDP growth 2026 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR3.2 percent→3.7 percent
    2026-10-28U.S. real GDP growth 2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR3.4 percent→3.3 percent
    2026-10-27U.S. real GDP growth 2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR3.5 percent→3.4 percent
    2026-10-20U.S. real GDP growth 2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR3.6 percent→3.5 percent
    2026-10-08U.S. real GDP growth 2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR3.7 percent→3.6 percent
    2026-09-30U.S. real GDP growth 2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR5.0 percent→3.7 percent
    2026-09-26U.S. real GDP growth 2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR5.1 percent→5.0 percent
    2026-09-16U.S. real GDP growth 2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR4.4 percent→5.1 percent
    2026-09-10U.S. real GDP growth 2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR4.7 percent→4.4 percent
    2026-09-03U.S. real GDP growth 2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR4.8 percent→4.7 percent
    2026-09-01U.S. real GDP growth 2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR4.6 percent→4.8 percent
    2026-08-26U.S. real GDP growth 2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR4.0 percent→4.6 percent
    2026-08-18U.S. real GDP growth 2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR5.8 percent→4.0 percent

    U.S. real GDP growth

    Compare institutions →
    PeriodReportedForecast
    2026 Q4“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2026 is **3.5 percent** on November 9, **up from 3.4 percent** on November 4.” — November 9, 2026 commentary, first paragraph · source ↗2026-11-093.5 percent
    2026 Q4“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2026 is **3.4 percent** on November 4, **down from 3.7 percent** on November 2.” — November 4, 2026 commentary, first paragraph · source ↗2026-11-043.4 percent
    2026 Q4“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2026 is 3.7 percent on November 2, up from 3.2 percent on October 29.” — November 2, 2026 commentary, first paragraph · source ↗2026-11-023.7 percent
    2026 Q4“The initial GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2026 is 3.2 percent on October 29.” — Commentary dated October 29, 2026, first paragraph · source ↗2026-11-013.2 percent
    2026 Q4“The initial GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2026 is **3.2 percent** on October 29.” — October 29, 2026 entry, first paragraph · source ↗2026-10-293.2 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **3.3 percent** on October 28, **down from 3.4 percent** on October 27.” — Commentary dated October 28, 2026, first paragraph · source ↗2026-10-283.3 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **3.4 percent** on October 27, **down from 3.5 percent** on October 20.” — Commentary dated October 27, 2026, first paragraph · source ↗2026-10-273.4 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 3.5 percent on October 20, down from 3.6 percent on October 15.” — Commentary dated October 20, 2026, first paragraph · source ↗2026-10-203.5 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 3.6 percent on October 15, unchanged from October 8 after rounding.” — October 15, 2026 commentary, first paragraph · source ↗2026-10-153.6 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **3.6 percent** on October 8, **down from 3.7 percent** on October 6.” — October 8, 2026 commentary · source ↗2026-10-083.6 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **3.7 percent** on October 6, **unchanged** from October 1 after rounding.” — October 6, 2026 commentary · source ↗2026-10-063.7 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **3.7 percent** on October 1, **unchanged** from September 30 after rounding.” — October 1, 2026 commentary · source ↗2026-10-013.7 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **3.7 percent** on September 30, **down from 5.0 percent** on September 25.” — September 30, 2026 commentary · source ↗2026-09-303.7 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **5.0 percent** on September 25, **down from 5.1 percent** on September 17.” — September 25, 2026 commentary · source ↗2026-09-265.0 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **5.1 percent** on September 17, **unchanged** from September 16 after rounding.” — September 17, 2026 commentary · source ↗2026-09-175.1 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **5.1 percent** on September 16, **up from 4.4 percent** on September 10.” — September 16, 2026 commentary · source ↗2026-09-165.1 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **4.4 percent** on September 10, **down from 4.7 percent** on September 3.” — September 10, 2026 commentary · source ↗2026-09-104.4 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **4.7 percent** on September 3, **down from 4.8 percent** on September 1.” — September 3, 2026 commentary · source ↗2026-09-034.7 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **4.8 percent** on September 1, **up from 4.6 percent** on August 26.” — September 1, 2026 commentary · source ↗2026-09-014.8 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **4.6 percent** on August 26, **up from 4.0 percent** on August 18.” — August 26, 2026 commentary · source ↗2026-08-264.6 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **4.0 percent** on August 18, **down from 4.3 percent** on August 14.” — August 18, 2026 commentary · source ↗2026-08-184.0 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **5.8 percent** on August 6, **down from 5.9 percent** on August 4.” — August 6, 2026 commentary · source ↗2026-08-075.8 percent
    2026 Q2“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2026 is 1.7 percent on July 17, unchanged from July 16.” — Current and Past GDPNow Commentaries · July 17, 2026 · source ↗2026-07-171.7%