PlanetaryInsights

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    Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

    A regional Reserve Bank publishing GDPNow, a frequently updated model estimate of current-quarter U.S. growth.

    Government · United StatesAtlanta, Georgia9 reports9 figuresInstitution website ↗

    What they changed their mind about

    6 revisions
    2026-09-16U.S. real GDP growth 2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR4.4 percent→5.1 percent
    2026-09-10U.S. real GDP growth 2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR4.7 percent→4.4 percent
    2026-09-03U.S. real GDP growth 2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR4.8 percent→4.7 percent
    2026-09-01U.S. real GDP growth 2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR4.6 percent→4.8 percent
    2026-08-26U.S. real GDP growth 2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR4.0 percent→4.6 percent
    2026-08-18U.S. real GDP growth 2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR5.8 percent→4.0 percent

    U.S. real GDP growth

    Compare institutions ›
    PeriodReportedForecast
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **5.1 percent** on September 17, **unchanged** from September 16 after rounding.” — September 17, 2026 commentary · source ↗2026-09-175.1 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **5.1 percent** on September 16, **up from 4.4 percent** on September 10.” — September 16, 2026 commentary · source ↗2026-09-165.1 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **4.4 percent** on September 10, **down from 4.7 percent** on September 3.” — September 10, 2026 commentary · source ↗2026-09-104.4 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **4.7 percent** on September 3, **down from 4.8 percent** on September 1.” — September 3, 2026 commentary · source ↗2026-09-034.7 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **4.8 percent** on September 1, **up from 4.6 percent** on August 26.” — September 1, 2026 commentary · source ↗2026-09-014.8 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **4.6 percent** on August 26, **up from 4.0 percent** on August 18.” — August 26, 2026 commentary · source ↗2026-08-264.6 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **4.0 percent** on August 18, **down from 4.3 percent** on August 14.” — August 18, 2026 commentary · source ↗2026-08-184.0 percent
    2026 Q3“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is **5.8 percent** on August 6, **down from 5.9 percent** on August 4.” — August 6, 2026 commentary · source ↗2026-08-075.8 percent
    2026 Q2“The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2026 is 1.7 percent on July 17, unchanged from July 16.” — Current and Past GDPNow Commentaries · July 17, 2026 · source ↗2026-07-171.7%