Economic Forecast Detail — United States, July 2026
RBC Economics’ monthly detailed U.S. macroeconomic and financial forecast table.
Published2026-07-13
Extracted figures9
Source classInstitution forecast
Update cadenceMonthly
Available formatPDF table
| Metric | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth | 2026 Q4“Real gross domestic product | 2026 Q4 | 2.2” — U.S. Forecast Detail · 2026 Q4 · source ↗ | 2026-07-13 | 2.2% |
| Personal consumption | 2026 Q4“Consumer Expenditures | 2026 Q4 | 1.5” — U.S. Forecast Detail · 2026 Q4 · source ↗ | 2026-07-13 | 1.5% |
| Business investment | 2026 Q4“Non-Residential Investment | 2026 Q4 | 4.0” — U.S. Forecast Detail · 2026 Q4 · source ↗ | 2026-07-13 | 4.0% |
| Unemployment rate | 2026 Q4“Unemployment rate (%) | 2026 Q4 | 4.3” — U.S. Forecast Detail · 2026 Q4 · source ↗ | 2026-07-13 | 4.3% |
| Federal funds rate | 2026 Q4“Fed Funds Rate (%, eop, top of range) | 2026 Q4 | 3.75” — U.S. Forecast Detail · 2026 Q4 · source ↗ | 2026-07-13 | 3.75% |
| 10-year Treasury yield | 2026 Q4“10-year | 2026 Q4 | 4.35” — U.S. Forecast Detail · 2026 Q4 · source ↗ | 2026-07-13 | 4.35% |
| Headline CPI inflation | 2026 Q4“Headline CPI (y/y%) | 2026 Q4 | 2.8” — U.S. Forecast Detail · 2026 Q4 · source ↗ | 2026-07-13 | 2.8% |
| Core CPI inflation | 2026 Q4“CPI ex-food & energy (y/y%) | 2026 Q4 | 2.8” — U.S. Forecast Detail · 2026 Q4 · source ↗ | 2026-07-13 | 2.8% |
| Housing starts | 2026 Q4“Housing starts (000s) | 2026 Q4 | 1458.9” — U.S. Forecast Detail · 2026 Q4 · source ↗ | 2026-07-13 | 1.459M |