PlanetaryInsights

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    Planetary Insights / public data, traced

    Every number here has a source.

    Institutions publish forecasts constantly and quietly revise them later. We keep the record: each figure stored with the sentence it came from and the report it appeared in, so a projection can be checked against what its author actually wrote.

    Open Outlook IndexSee the scorecard
    Institutions17
    Figures2023
    Reports143
    Metrics35
    Scored377
    Sourced100%

    Datasets

    1 live
    Forecast accountabilityOpen ›

    Outlook Index

    Every published projection from central banks, budget offices and bank research — traced to the sentence it came from, and tracked as it gets revised.

    Figures2023
    Institutions17
    Reports143
    Metrics35
    Comparable groups82
    Revisions1034
    Latest revisionsAll ›
    2026-10-12NABE U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 full year2%→2.1%
    2026-10-12NABE U.S. unemployment rate, 2026 full year4.4%→4.2%
    2026-10-12NABE U.S. core PCE inflation, 2026 Q43.2%→3.3%
    2026-10-10New York Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q32.46→2.65
    2026-10-10New York Fed U.S. real GDP growth, 2026 Q42.54→2.83

    Derived by comparing an institution's own successive reports. Nothing stored.

    Recent reportsSources ›
    2026-10-13Cleveland Fed inflation nowcast Cleveland FedModel nowcast
    2026-10-12Goldman Sachs US economic outlook Goldman SachsInstitution forecast
    2026-10-12Cleveland Fed inflation nowcast Cleveland FedModel nowcast
    2026-10-12NABE Outlook Survey NABEConsensus survey
    2026-10-11Goldman Sachs US economic outlook Goldman SachsInstitution forecast

    How it works

    Provenance, not summary
    01 / ExtractBound to a quoteA figure enters the index only with the sentence that stated it and a link to the report. No paraphrase, no unattributed number.
    02 / CompareLike against likeComparisons hold target period, basis, geography and source class constant. Forecasts, nowcasts and surveys never get averaged together.
    03 / DeriveNothing is storedRevisions, consensus and dispersion are computed from the underlying figures on every request, so they cannot drift out of sync with their inputs.