Metrics
A comparison only happens when period, basis, geography and source class all match.
31 metrics carrying figures83 comparable groups with two or more institutions
All metrics
By figure count| Metric | Unit | Figures | Institutions | Widest spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. real GDP growthProjected growth in inflation-adjusted U.S. gross domestic product. | % | 260 | 16 | +1.40% |
| Henry Hub natural gas priceProjected Henry Hub spot price for natural gas. | $/MMBtu | 150 | 2 | +1.21 |
| West Texas Intermediate crude oil priceProjected average spot price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil. | $/barrel | 149 | 2 | — |
| U.S. headline CPI inflationProjected change in the all-items consumer price index. | % | 148 | 9 | +1.10% |
| U.S. core PCE inflationProjected change in PCE prices excluding food and energy. | % | 147 | 7 | +0.80% |
| U.S. headline PCE inflationProjected change in the personal consumption expenditures price index. | % | 147 | 7 | +1.10% |
| U.S. unemployment rateProjected share of the U.S. civilian labor force that is unemployed. | % | 145 | 9 | +0.36% |
| U.S. core CPI inflationProjected change in consumer prices excluding food and energy. | % | 127 | 7 | +0.50% |
| U.S. personal consumption growthProjected real growth in personal consumption expenditures. | % | 121 | 6 | +0.80% |
| Federal funds rateProjected federal funds target, midpoint, or quarterly average as labeled. | % | 120 | 7 | +0.71% |
| U.S. 10-year Treasury yieldProjected yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note. | % | 113 | 4 | +0.65% |
| U.S. 3-month Treasury bill rateProjected secondary-market rate on the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill. | % | 104 | 1 | — |
| U.S. labor force participation rateProjected share of the civilian noninstitutional population aged 16 and over in the labor force. | % | 104 | 1 | — |
| U.S. business fixed investment growthProjected real growth in business fixed investment. | % | 99 | 7 | +1.80% |
| U.S. nonfarm productivity growthProjected change in output per hour in the nonfarm business sector. | % | 86 | 1 | — |
| Brent crude oil priceProjected average spot price of Brent crude oil. | $/barrel | 80 | 3 | +$6.00/bbl |
| U.S. retail gasoline priceProjected U.S. average retail price for regular-grade gasoline. | $/gallon | 74 | 1 | — |
| U.S. one-year inflation expectationMedian expected inflation over the next year among surveyed U.S. households. | % | 40 | 1 | — |
| U.S. employment cost index growthProjected change in the employment cost index for wages and salaries, private industry workers. | % | 23 | 1 | — |
| U.S. nonfarm payroll growthProjected average monthly change in total nonfarm payroll employment. | thousand jobs/month | 20 | 3 | +23.0K/mo |
| U.S. residential investment growthProjected real growth in private residential fixed investment. | % | 11 | 2 | — |
| Probability of negative U.S. GDP growthSurvey estimate of the probability that real GDP contracts in a target quarter. | % | 6 | 1 | — |
| U.S. housing startsProjected annualized pace of new privately owned housing starts. | thousand units SAAR | 6 | 4 | +159K |
| U.S. home-price growthProjected year-over-year change in a stated national home-price index. | % | 3 | 3 | — |
| U.S. industrial production growthProjected change in the industrial production index. | % | 3 | 1 | — |
| U.S. total vehicle salesProjected annualized pace of total light vehicle sales. | million units SAAR | 3 | 1 | — |
| U.S. 30-year fixed mortgage rateProjected rate on a conventional 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. | % | 2 | 2 | +0.10% |
| U.S. existing-home salesProjected annualized pace of existing single-family, condo, and co-op sales. | thousand units SAAR | 2 | 2 | +4K |
| U.S. new single-family home salesProjected annualized pace of new single-family home sales. | thousand units SAAR | 2 | 2 | +40K |
| Federal budget deficit as a share of GDPProjected federal budget deficit relative to U.S. gross domestic product. | % | 1 | 1 | — |
| Federal debt held by the public as a share of GDPProjected federal debt held by the public relative to U.S. GDP. | % | 1 | 1 | — |