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    U.S. personal consumption growth

    Projected real growth in personal consumption expenditures.

    United States · %3 extracted figures3 institutions1 comparable groups

    2026 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR

    3 institutions
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.50%2.07%2.40%CONSENSUSJUL 26JUL 26JUL 26Wells Fargo · 2.3% · 2026-07-30RBC · 1.5% · 2026-07-13Fannie Mae · 2.4% · 2026-07-10Fannie Mae 2.4%

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    Wells Fargo2026 Q4“Personal Consumption | 2026 4Q | 2.3” — U.S. Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-302.3%
    RBC2026 Q4“Consumer Expenditures | 2026 Q4 | 1.5” — U.S. Forecast Detail · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-131.5%
    Fannie Mae2026 Q4“Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) | 26.4 | 2.4” — Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-102.4%
    Readout
    Consensus
    2.07%
    Spread
    +0.90%
    Low
    1.50%
    High
    2.40%
    Reporting
    3
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR