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    U.S. nonfarm productivity growth

    Projected change in output per hour in the nonfarm business sector.

    United States · %86 extracted figures1 institutions0 comparable groups

    Revisions on this metric

    54 on record
    2026-02-01CBO 2025 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR1.549→4.251
    2026-02-01CBO 2025 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR1.385→2.169
    2026-02-01CBO 2025 full year · Annual growth1.715→1.623
    2026-02-01CBO 2026 Q1 · Quarterly SAAR1.576→1.965
    2026-02-01CBO 2026 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR1.629→1.294
    2026-02-01CBO 2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR1.508→1.463
    2026-02-01CBO 2026 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR1.493→1.561
    2026-02-01CBO 2026 full year · Annual growth1.542→2.15
    2026-02-01CBO 2027 Q1 · Quarterly SAAR1.595→1.628
    2026-02-01CBO 2027 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR1.431→1.644
    2026-02-01CBO 2027 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR1.444→1.648
    2026-02-01CBO 2027 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR1.567→1.649
    2026-02-01CBO 2027 full year · Annual growth1.516→1.581
    2026-02-01CBO 2028 Q1 · Quarterly SAAR1.547→1.649
    2026-02-01CBO 2028 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR1.361→1.649
    2026-02-01CBO 2028 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR1.433→1.649
    2026-02-01CBO 2028 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR1.496→1.65
    2026-02-01CBO 2028 full year · Annual growth1.478→1.649
    2025-01-01CBO 2024 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR1.591→0.965
    2025-01-01CBO 2024 full year · Annual growth2.205→2.199
    2025-01-01CBO 2025 Q1 · Quarterly SAAR1.777→2.09
    2025-01-01CBO 2025 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR1.903→1.713
    2025-01-01CBO 2025 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR1.682→1.549
    2025-01-01CBO 2025 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR1.612→1.385
    2025-01-01CBO 2025 full year · Annual growth1.753→1.715
    2025-01-01CBO 2026 Q1 · Quarterly SAAR1.631→1.576
    2025-01-01CBO 2026 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR1.519→1.629
    2025-01-01CBO 2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR1.681→1.508
    2025-01-01CBO 2026 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR1.707→1.493
    2025-01-01CBO 2026 full year · Annual growth1.641→1.542
    2025-01-01CBO 2027 Q1 · Quarterly SAAR1.604→1.595
    2025-01-01CBO 2027 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR1.525→1.431
    2025-01-01CBO 2027 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR1.537→1.444
    2025-01-01CBO 2027 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR1.529→1.567
    2025-01-01CBO 2027 full year · Annual growth1.6→1.516
    2024-06-01CBO 2024 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR1.241→2.141
    2024-06-01CBO 2024 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR2.032→1.671
    2024-06-01CBO 2024 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR2.036→1.591
    2024-06-01CBO 2024 full year · Annual growth1.574→2.205
    2024-06-01CBO 2025 Q1 · Quarterly SAAR1.119→1.777
    2024-06-01CBO 2025 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR1.449→1.903
    2024-06-01CBO 2025 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR1.26→1.682
    2024-06-01CBO 2025 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR1.689→1.612
    2024-06-01CBO 2025 full year · Annual growth1.527→1.753
    2024-06-01CBO 2026 Q1 · Quarterly SAAR1.532→1.631
    2024-06-01CBO 2026 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR1.926→1.519
    2024-06-01CBO 2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR1.971→1.681
    2024-06-01CBO 2026 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR1.981→1.707
    2024-06-01CBO 2026 full year · Annual growth1.679→1.641
    2024-06-01CBO 2027 Q1 · Quarterly SAAR2.03→1.604
    2024-06-01CBO 2027 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR2.018→1.525
    2024-06-01CBO 2027 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR2.066→1.537
    2024-06-01CBO 2027 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR2.121→1.529
    2024-06-01CBO 2027 full year · Annual growth2.015→1.6

    2023 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2023 Q4“2023q4,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,-0.206,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-02-01-0.206
    Readout
    Low
    -0.21%
    High
    -0.21%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2023 full year · Annual growth

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2023 full year“2023,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.142,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-02-011.142
    Readout
    Low
    1.14%
    High
    1.14%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Annual growth

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2024 Q1 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2024 Q1“2024q1,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,0.793,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-02-010.793
    Readout
    Low
    0.79%
    High
    0.79%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2024 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.24%2.14%CONSENSUSFEB 24APR 24JUN 24CBO · 2.141 · 2024-06-01CBO · 1.241 · 2024-02-01CBO 1.241

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2024 Q2“2024q2,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,2.141,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-06-012.141
    CBO2024 Q2“2024q2,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.241,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-02-011.241
    Readout
    Low
    2.14%
    High
    2.14%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2024 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.67%2.03%CONSENSUSFEB 24APR 24JUN 24CBO · 1.671 · 2024-06-01CBO · 2.032 · 2024-02-01CBO 2.032

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2024 Q3“2024q3,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.671,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-06-011.671
    CBO2024 Q3“2024q3,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,2.032,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-02-012.032
    Readout
    Low
    1.67%
    High
    1.67%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2024 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    0.96%2.04%CONSENSUSFEB 24JUL 24JAN 25CBO · 0.965 · 2025-01-01CBO · 1.591 · 2024-06-01CBO · 2.036 · 2024-02-01CBO 2.036

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2024 Q4“2024q4,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,0.965,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2025-01-010.965
    CBO2024 Q4“2024q4,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.591,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-06-011.591
    CBO2024 Q4“2024q4,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,2.036,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-02-012.036
    Readout
    Low
    0.96%
    High
    0.96%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2024 full year · Annual growth

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.57%2.20%2.21%CONSENSUSFEB 24JUL 24JAN 25CBO · 2.199 · 2025-01-01CBO · 2.205 · 2024-06-01CBO · 1.574 · 2024-02-01CBO 1.574

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2024 full year“2024,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,2.199,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-01.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2025-01-012.199
    CBO2024 full year“2024,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,2.205,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-06.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-06-012.205
    CBO2024 full year“2024,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.574,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-02-011.574
    Readout
    Low
    2.20%
    High
    2.20%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Annual growth

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2025 Q1 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.12%2.09%CONSENSUSFEB 24JUL 24JAN 25CBO · 2.09 · 2025-01-01CBO · 1.777 · 2024-06-01CBO · 1.119 · 2024-02-01CBO 1.119

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2025 Q1“2025q1,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,2.09,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2025-01-012.09
    CBO2025 Q1“2025q1,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.777,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-06-011.777
    CBO2025 Q1“2025q1,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.119,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-02-011.119
    Readout
    Low
    2.09%
    High
    2.09%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2025 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.45%1.71%1.90%CONSENSUSFEB 24JUL 24JAN 25CBO · 1.713 · 2025-01-01CBO · 1.903 · 2024-06-01CBO · 1.449 · 2024-02-01CBO 1.449

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2025 Q2“2025q2,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.713,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2025-01-011.713
    CBO2025 Q2“2025q2,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.903,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-06-011.903
    CBO2025 Q2“2025q2,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.449,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-02-011.449
    Readout
    Low
    1.71%
    High
    1.71%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2025 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.26%4.25%CONSENSUSFEB 24JAN 25FEB 26CBO · 4.251 · 2026-02-01CBO · 1.549 · 2025-01-01CBO · 1.682 · 2024-06-01CBO · 1.26 · 2024-02-01CBO 1.26

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2025 Q3“2025q3,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,4.251,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2026-02-014.251
    CBO2025 Q3“2025q3,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.549,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2025-01-011.549
    CBO2025 Q3“2025q3,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.682,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-06-011.682
    CBO2025 Q3“2025q3,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.26,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-02-011.26
    Readout
    Low
    4.25%
    High
    4.25%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2025 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.39%2.17%CONSENSUSFEB 24JAN 25FEB 26CBO · 2.169 · 2026-02-01CBO · 1.385 · 2025-01-01CBO · 1.612 · 2024-06-01CBO · 1.689 · 2024-02-01CBO 1.689

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2025 Q4“2025q4,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,2.169,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2026-02-012.169
    CBO2025 Q4“2025q4,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.385,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2025-01-011.385
    CBO2025 Q4“2025q4,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.612,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-06-011.612
    CBO2025 Q4“2025q4,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.689,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-02-011.689
    Readout
    Low
    2.17%
    High
    2.17%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2025 full year · Annual growth

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.53%1.62%1.75%CONSENSUSFEB 24JAN 25FEB 26CBO · 1.623 · 2026-02-01CBO · 1.715 · 2025-01-01CBO · 1.753 · 2024-06-01CBO · 1.527 · 2024-02-01CBO 1.527

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2025 full year“2025,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.623,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2026-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2026-02-011.623
    CBO2025 full year“2025,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.715,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-01.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2025-01-011.715
    CBO2025 full year“2025,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.753,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-06.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-06-011.753
    CBO2025 full year“2025,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.527,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-02-011.527
    Readout
    Low
    1.62%
    High
    1.62%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Annual growth

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2026 Q1 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.53%1.97%CONSENSUSFEB 24JAN 25FEB 26CBO · 1.965 · 2026-02-01CBO · 1.576 · 2025-01-01CBO · 1.631 · 2024-06-01CBO · 1.532 · 2024-02-01CBO 1.532

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2026 Q1“2026q1,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.965,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2026-02-011.965
    CBO2026 Q1“2026q1,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.576,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2025-01-011.576
    CBO2026 Q1“2026q1,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.631,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-06-011.631
    CBO2026 Q1“2026q1,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.532,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-02-011.532
    Readout
    Low
    1.97%
    High
    1.97%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2026 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.29%1.93%CONSENSUSFEB 24JAN 25FEB 26CBO · 1.294 · 2026-02-01CBO · 1.629 · 2025-01-01CBO · 1.519 · 2024-06-01CBO · 1.926 · 2024-02-01CBO 1.926

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2026 Q2“2026q2,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.294,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2026-02-011.294
    CBO2026 Q2“2026q2,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.629,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2025-01-011.629
    CBO2026 Q2“2026q2,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.519,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-06-011.519
    CBO2026 Q2“2026q2,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.926,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-02-011.926
    Readout
    Low
    1.29%
    High
    1.29%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.46%1.97%CONSENSUSFEB 24JAN 25FEB 26CBO · 1.463 · 2026-02-01CBO · 1.508 · 2025-01-01CBO · 1.681 · 2024-06-01CBO · 1.971 · 2024-02-01CBO 1.971

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2026 Q3“2026q3,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.463,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2026-02-011.463
    CBO2026 Q3“2026q3,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.508,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2025-01-011.508
    CBO2026 Q3“2026q3,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.681,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-06-011.681
    CBO2026 Q3“2026q3,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.971,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-02-011.971
    Readout
    Low
    1.46%
    High
    1.46%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2026 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.49%1.56%1.98%CONSENSUSFEB 24JAN 25FEB 26CBO · 1.561 · 2026-02-01CBO · 1.493 · 2025-01-01CBO · 1.707 · 2024-06-01CBO · 1.981 · 2024-02-01CBO 1.981

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2026 Q4“2026q4,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.561,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2026-02-011.561
    CBO2026 Q4“2026q4,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.493,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2025-01-011.493
    CBO2026 Q4“2026q4,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.707,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-06-011.707
    CBO2026 Q4“2026q4,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.981,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-02-011.981
    Readout
    Low
    1.56%
    High
    1.56%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2026 full year · Annual growth

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.54%2.15%CONSENSUSFEB 24JAN 25FEB 26CBO · 2.15 · 2026-02-01CBO · 1.542 · 2025-01-01CBO · 1.641 · 2024-06-01CBO · 1.679 · 2024-02-01CBO 1.679

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2026 full year“2026,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,2.15,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2026-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2026-02-012.15
    CBO2026 full year“2026,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.542,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-01.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2025-01-011.542
    CBO2026 full year“2026,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.641,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-06.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-06-011.641
    CBO2026 full year“2026,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.679,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-02-011.679
    Readout
    Low
    2.15%
    High
    2.15%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Annual growth

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2027 Q1 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.59%1.63%2.03%CONSENSUSFEB 24JAN 25FEB 26CBO · 1.628 · 2026-02-01CBO · 1.595 · 2025-01-01CBO · 1.604 · 2024-06-01CBO · 2.03 · 2024-02-01CBO 2.03

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2027 Q1“2027q1,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.628,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2026-02-011.628
    CBO2027 Q1“2027q1,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.595,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2025-01-011.595
    CBO2027 Q1“2027q1,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.604,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-06-011.604
    CBO2027 Q1“2027q1,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,2.03,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-02-012.03
    Readout
    Low
    1.63%
    High
    1.63%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2027 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.43%1.64%2.02%CONSENSUSFEB 24JAN 25FEB 26CBO · 1.644 · 2026-02-01CBO · 1.431 · 2025-01-01CBO · 1.525 · 2024-06-01CBO · 2.018 · 2024-02-01CBO 2.018

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2027 Q2“2027q2,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.644,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2026-02-011.644
    CBO2027 Q2“2027q2,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.431,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2025-01-011.431
    CBO2027 Q2“2027q2,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.525,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-06-011.525
    CBO2027 Q2“2027q2,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,2.018,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-02-012.018
    Readout
    Low
    1.64%
    High
    1.64%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2027 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.44%1.65%2.07%CONSENSUSFEB 24JAN 25FEB 26CBO · 1.648 · 2026-02-01CBO · 1.444 · 2025-01-01CBO · 1.537 · 2024-06-01CBO · 2.066 · 2024-02-01CBO 2.066

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2027 Q3“2027q3,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.648,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2026-02-011.648
    CBO2027 Q3“2027q3,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.444,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2025-01-011.444
    CBO2027 Q3“2027q3,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.537,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-06-011.537
    CBO2027 Q3“2027q3,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,2.066,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-02-012.066
    Readout
    Low
    1.65%
    High
    1.65%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2027 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.53%1.65%2.12%CONSENSUSFEB 24JAN 25FEB 26CBO · 1.649 · 2026-02-01CBO · 1.567 · 2025-01-01CBO · 1.529 · 2024-06-01CBO · 2.121 · 2024-02-01CBO 2.121

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2027 Q4“2027q4,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.649,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2026-02-011.649
    CBO2027 Q4“2027q4,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.567,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2025-01-011.567
    CBO2027 Q4“2027q4,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.529,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-06-011.529
    CBO2027 Q4“2027q4,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,2.121,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-02-012.121
    Readout
    Low
    1.65%
    High
    1.65%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2027 full year · Annual growth

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.52%1.58%2.02%CONSENSUSFEB 24JAN 25FEB 26CBO · 1.581 · 2026-02-01CBO · 1.516 · 2025-01-01CBO · 1.6 · 2024-06-01CBO · 2.015 · 2024-02-01CBO 2.015

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2027 full year“2027,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.581,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2026-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2026-02-011.581
    CBO2027 full year“2027,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.516,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-01.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2025-01-011.516
    CBO2027 full year“2027,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.6,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-06.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-06-011.6
    CBO2027 full year“2027,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,2.015,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2024-02-012.015
    Readout
    Low
    1.58%
    High
    1.58%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Annual growth

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2028 Q1 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.55%1.65%CONSENSUSJAN 25JUL 25FEB 26CBO · 1.649 · 2026-02-01CBO · 1.547 · 2025-01-01CBO 1.547

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2028 Q1“2028q1,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.649,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2026-02-011.649
    CBO2028 Q1“2028q1,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.547,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2025-01-011.547
    Readout
    Low
    1.65%
    High
    1.65%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2028 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.36%1.65%CONSENSUSJAN 25JUL 25FEB 26CBO · 1.649 · 2026-02-01CBO · 1.361 · 2025-01-01CBO 1.361

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2028 Q2“2028q2,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.649,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2026-02-011.649
    CBO2028 Q2“2028q2,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.361,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2025-01-011.361
    Readout
    Low
    1.65%
    High
    1.65%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2028 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.43%1.65%CONSENSUSJAN 25JUL 25FEB 26CBO · 1.649 · 2026-02-01CBO · 1.433 · 2025-01-01CBO 1.433

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2028 Q3“2028q3,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.649,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2026-02-011.649
    CBO2028 Q3“2028q3,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.433,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2025-01-011.433
    Readout
    Low
    1.65%
    High
    1.65%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2028 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.50%1.65%CONSENSUSJAN 25JUL 25FEB 26CBO · 1.65 · 2026-02-01CBO · 1.496 · 2025-01-01CBO 1.496

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2028 Q4“2028q4,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.65,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2026-02-011.65
    CBO2028 Q4“2028q4,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.496,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2025-01-011.496
    Readout
    Low
    1.65%
    High
    1.65%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2028 full year · Annual growth

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1.48%1.65%CONSENSUSJAN 25JUL 25FEB 26CBO · 1.649 · 2026-02-01CBO · 1.478 · 2025-01-01CBO 1.478

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2028 full year“2028,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.649,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2026-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2026-02-011.649
    CBO2028 full year“2028,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.478,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-01.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2025-01-011.478
    Readout
    Low
    1.65%
    High
    1.65%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Annual growth

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2029 Q1 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2029 Q1“2029q1,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.65,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2026-02-011.65
    Readout
    Low
    1.65%
    High
    1.65%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2029 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2029 Q2“2029q2,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.65,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2026-02-011.65
    Readout
    Low
    1.65%
    High
    1.65%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2029 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2029 Q3“2029q3,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.65,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2026-02-011.65
    Readout
    Low
    1.65%
    High
    1.65%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2029 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2029 Q4“2029q4,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.65,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2026-02-011.65
    Readout
    Low
    1.65%
    High
    1.65%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2029 full year · Annual growth

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2029 full year“2029,output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change,1.65,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2026-02.csv, output_per_hr_nfb_pct_change · source ↗2026-02-011.65
    Readout
    Low
    1.65%
    High
    1.65%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Annual growth

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.