U.S. one-year inflation expectation

Median expected inflation over the next year among surveyed U.S. households.

United States · %1 extracted figures1 institutions0 comparable groups

1 year ahead · Median household expectation

1 institution
Single reported figureUnited States
InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
New York Fed1 year ahead“Median inflation expectations decreased by 0.1 percentage point to 3.5% at the one-year-ahead horizon” — Inflation · source ↗2026-06-083.5%
Readout
Low
3.50%
High
3.50%
Reporting
1
Basis
Median household expectation

One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.