PLANETARYINSIGHTS

    Real GDP growth 2026 full year 2.1 2.4 ▲ EIAReal GDP growth 2027 full year 2.6 2.8 ▲ EIAHeadline PCE inflation 2026 Q4 3.95 3.94 ▼ Cleveland FedHeadline CPI inflation 2026 Q4 4.24 4.40 ▲ Cleveland FedCore CPI inflation 2026 Q4 3.02 3.40 ▲ Cleveland FedCore PCE inflation 2026 Q4 3.33 3.38 ▲ Cleveland Fed

    Federal budget deficit as a share of GDP

    Projected federal budget deficit relative to U.S. gross domestic product.

    United States · %1 extracted figures1 institutions0 comparable groups

    FY2026 · Fiscal-year share of GDP

    United States · 1 institution
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBOFY2026“the deficit is 5.8 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2026” — The Budget Outlook · Deficits · source ↗2026-02-115.8%

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    Low
    5.80%
    High
    5.80%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Fiscal-year share of GDP

    One institution reporting. No consensus claimed.