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    U.S. housing starts

    Projected annualized pace of new privately owned housing starts.

    United States · thousand units SAAR6 extracted figures4 institutions1 comparable groups

    2026 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR

    3 institutions
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    1,300K1,358K1,459KCONSENSUSJUL 26JUL 26JUL 26Wells Fargo · 1.3M · 2026-07-30RBC · 1.459M · 2026-07-13Fannie Mae · 1.314M · 2026-07-10Fannie Mae 1.314M

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    Wells Fargo2026 Q4“Housing Starts (e) | 2026 4Q | 1.3” — U.S. Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-301.3M
    RBC2026 Q4“Housing starts (000s) | 2026 Q4 | 1458.9” — U.S. Forecast Detail · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-131.459M
    Fannie Mae2026 Q4“Total Housing Starts | 26.4 | 1,314” — Housing Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-101.314M
    Readout
    Consensus
    1,358K
    Spread
    +159K
    Low
    1,300K
    High
    1,459K
    Reporting
    3
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    2026 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    Philadelphia Fed2026 Q2“Total Private Housing Starts 1.390 1.350 1.345 1.385 1.350” — Page 4, Livingston Survey Summary Table, levels of variables · source ↗2026-06-241.390
    Readout
    Low
    1K
    High
    1K
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2026 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    Philadelphia Fed2026 Q4“Total Private Housing Starts 1.390 1.350 1.345 1.385 1.350” — Page 4, Livingston Survey Summary Table, levels of variables · source ↗2026-06-241.350
    Readout
    Low
    1K
    High
    1K
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2027 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    Philadelphia Fed2027 Q2“Total Private Housing Starts 1.390 1.350 1.345 1.385 1.350” — Page 4, Livingston Survey Summary Table, levels of variables · source ↗2026-06-241.345
    Readout
    Low
    1K
    High
    1K
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.