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    U.S. 10-year Treasury yield

    Projected yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note.

    United States · %109 extracted figures4 institutions4 comparable groups

    Revisions on this metric

    72 on record
    2026-02-01CBO 2025 Q3 · Quarterly average4.282→4.256
    2026-02-01CBO 2025 Q4 · Quarterly average4.28→4.082
    2026-02-01CBO 2025 full year · Annual average4.344→4.288
    2026-02-01CBO 2026 Q1 · Quarterly average4.24→4.059
    2026-02-01CBO 2026 Q2 · Quarterly average4.216→4.093
    2026-02-01CBO 2026 Q3 · Quarterly average4.177→4.156
    2026-02-01CBO 2026 Q4 · Quarterly average4.132→4.197
    2026-02-01CBO 2026 full year · Annual average4.191→4.127
    2026-02-01CBO 2027 Q1 · Quarterly average4.087→4.226
    2026-02-01CBO 2027 Q2 · Quarterly average4.049→4.248
    2026-02-01CBO 2027 Q3 · Quarterly average4.015→4.265
    2026-02-01CBO 2027 Q4 · Quarterly average3.985→4.279
    2026-02-01CBO 2027 full year · Annual average4.034→4.254
    2026-02-01CBO 2028 Q1 · Quarterly average3.957→4.29
    2026-02-01CBO 2028 Q2 · Quarterly average3.932→4.3
    2026-02-01CBO 2028 Q3 · Quarterly average3.91→4.308
    2026-02-01CBO 2028 Q4 · Quarterly average3.89→4.315
    2026-02-01CBO 2028 full year · Annual average3.922→4.303
    2025-09-01CBO 2025 Q3 · Quarterly average4.03→4.282
    2025-09-01CBO 2025 Q4 · Quarterly average3.985→4.28
    2025-09-01CBO 2025 full year · Annual average4.093→4.344
    2025-09-01CBO 2026 Q1 · Quarterly average3.954→4.24
    2025-09-01CBO 2026 Q2 · Quarterly average3.936→4.216
    2025-09-01CBO 2026 Q3 · Quarterly average3.927→4.177
    2025-09-01CBO 2026 Q4 · Quarterly average3.924→4.132
    2025-09-01CBO 2026 full year · Annual average3.935→4.191
    2025-09-01CBO 2027 Q1 · Quarterly average3.921→4.087
    2025-09-01CBO 2027 Q2 · Quarterly average3.917→4.049
    2025-09-01CBO 2027 Q3 · Quarterly average3.913→4.015
    2025-09-01CBO 2027 Q4 · Quarterly average3.908→3.985
    2025-09-01CBO 2027 full year · Annual average3.914→4.034
    2025-09-01CBO 2028 Q1 · Quarterly average3.902→3.957
    2025-09-01CBO 2028 Q2 · Quarterly average3.897→3.932
    2025-09-01CBO 2028 Q3 · Quarterly average3.891→3.91
    2025-09-01CBO 2028 Q4 · Quarterly average3.887→3.89
    2025-09-01CBO 2028 full year · Annual average3.894→3.922
    2025-01-01CBO 2024 Q4 · Quarterly average4.416→4.202
    2025-01-01CBO 2024 full year · Annual average4.453→4.188
    2025-01-01CBO 2025 Q1 · Quarterly average4.328→4.245
    2025-01-01CBO 2025 Q2 · Quarterly average4.142→4.113
    2025-01-01CBO 2025 Q3 · Quarterly average4.011→4.03
    2025-01-01CBO 2025 Q4 · Quarterly average3.877→3.985
    2025-01-01CBO 2025 full year · Annual average4.09→4.093
    2025-01-01CBO 2026 Q1 · Quarterly average3.766→3.954
    2025-01-01CBO 2026 Q2 · Quarterly average3.687→3.936
    2025-01-01CBO 2026 Q3 · Quarterly average3.621→3.927
    2025-01-01CBO 2026 Q4 · Quarterly average3.576→3.924
    2025-01-01CBO 2026 full year · Annual average3.663→3.935
    2025-01-01CBO 2027 Q1 · Quarterly average3.578→3.921
    2025-01-01CBO 2027 Q2 · Quarterly average3.585→3.917
    2025-01-01CBO 2027 Q3 · Quarterly average3.596→3.913
    2025-01-01CBO 2027 Q4 · Quarterly average3.611→3.908
    2025-01-01CBO 2027 full year · Annual average3.593→3.914
    2024-06-01CBO 2024 Q2 · Quarterly average4.644→4.69
    2024-06-01CBO 2024 Q3 · Quarterly average4.766→4.546
    2024-06-01CBO 2024 Q4 · Quarterly average4.819→4.416
    2024-06-01CBO 2024 full year · Annual average4.608→4.453
    2024-06-01CBO 2025 Q1 · Quarterly average4.811→4.328
    2024-06-01CBO 2025 Q2 · Quarterly average4.664→4.142
    2024-06-01CBO 2025 Q3 · Quarterly average4.511→4.011
    2024-06-01CBO 2025 Q4 · Quarterly average4.315→3.877
    2024-06-01CBO 2025 full year · Annual average4.575→4.09
    2024-06-01CBO 2026 Q1 · Quarterly average4.125→3.766
    2024-06-01CBO 2026 Q2 · Quarterly average4.006→3.687
    2024-06-01CBO 2026 Q3 · Quarterly average3.862→3.621
    2024-06-01CBO 2026 Q4 · Quarterly average3.739→3.576
    2024-06-01CBO 2026 full year · Annual average3.933→3.663
    2024-06-01CBO 2027 Q1 · Quarterly average3.741→3.578
    2024-06-01CBO 2027 Q2 · Quarterly average3.748→3.585
    2024-06-01CBO 2027 Q3 · Quarterly average3.757→3.596
    2024-06-01CBO 2027 Q4 · Quarterly average3.771→3.611
    2024-06-01CBO 2027 full year · Annual average3.754→3.593

    2027 full year · Annual average

    2 institutions
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    3.59%4.58%4.90%CONSENSUSFEB 24MAY 25AUG 26Fannie Mae · 4.9 · 2026-08-13CBO · 4.254 · 2026-02-01CBO · 4.034 · 2025-09-01CBO · 3.914 · 2025-01-01CBO · 3.593 · 2024-06-01CBO · 3.754 · 2024-02-01CBO 3.754

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    Fannie Mae2027 full year“| 10-Year Treasury Note Yield | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 4.9 |” — Forecast table, 10-Year Treasury Note Yield, 2027 annual column · source ↗2026-08-134.9
    CBO2027 full year“2027,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.254,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2026-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2026-02-014.254
    CBO2027 full year“2027,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.034,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-09.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-09-014.034
    CBO2027 full year“2027,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.914,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-01.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-01-013.914
    CBO2027 full year“2027,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.593,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-06.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-06-013.593
    CBO2027 full year“2027,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.754,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-02-013.754
    Readout
    Consensus
    4.58%
    Spread
    +0.65%
    Low
    4.25%
    High
    4.90%
    Reporting
    2
    Basis
    Annual average

    2026 full year · Annual average

    2 institutions
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    3.66%4.31%4.50%CONSENSUSFEB 24MAY 25AUG 26Fannie Mae · 4.5 · 2026-08-13CBO · 4.127 · 2026-02-01CBO · 4.191 · 2025-09-01CBO · 3.935 · 2025-01-01CBO · 3.663 · 2024-06-01CBO · 3.933 · 2024-02-01CBO 3.933

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    Fannie Mae2026 full year“| 10-Year Treasury Note Yield | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 4.9 |” — Forecast table, 10-Year Treasury Note Yield, 2026 annual column · source ↗2026-08-134.5
    CBO2026 full year“2026,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.127,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2026-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2026-02-014.127
    CBO2026 full year“2026,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.191,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-09.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-09-014.191
    CBO2026 full year“2026,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.935,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-01.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-01-013.935
    CBO2026 full year“2026,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.663,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-06.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-06-013.663
    CBO2026 full year“2026,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.933,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-02-013.933
    Readout
    Consensus
    4.31%
    Spread
    +0.37%
    Low
    4.13%
    High
    4.50%
    Reporting
    2
    Basis
    Annual average

    2026 Q4 · Quarterly average

    2 institutions
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    3.58%4.35%4.50%CONSENSUSFEB 24APR 25JUL 26Fannie Mae · 4.5% · 2026-07-10CBO · 4.197 · 2026-02-01CBO · 4.132 · 2025-09-01CBO · 3.924 · 2025-01-01CBO · 3.576 · 2024-06-01CBO · 3.739 · 2024-02-01CBO 3.739

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    Fannie Mae2026 Q4“10-Year Treasury Note Yield | 26.4 | 4.5” — Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-104.5%
    CBO2026 Q4“2026q4,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.197,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2026-02-014.197
    CBO2026 Q4“2026q4,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.132,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-09-014.132
    CBO2026 Q4“2026q4,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.924,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-01-013.924
    CBO2026 Q4“2026q4,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.576,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-06-013.576
    CBO2026 Q4“2026q4,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.739,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-02-013.739
    Readout
    Consensus
    4.35%
    Spread
    +0.30%
    Low
    4.20%
    High
    4.50%
    Reporting
    2
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    2026 Q4 · Quarter-end

    2 institutions
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    4.35%CONSENSUSJUL 26JUL 26JUL 26Wells Fargo · 4.35% · 2026-07-30RBC · 4.35% · 2026-07-13RBC 4.35%

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    Wells Fargo2026 Q4“10 Year Note | 2026 4Q | 4.35” — U.S. Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-304.35%
    RBC2026 Q4“10-year | 2026 Q4 | 4.35” — U.S. Forecast Detail · 2026 Q4 · source ↗2026-07-134.35%
    Readout
    Consensus
    4.35%
    Spread
    0.00%
    Low
    4.35%
    High
    4.35%
    Reporting
    2
    Basis
    Quarter-end

    2023 Q4 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2023 Q4“2023q4,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.467,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-02-014.467
    Readout
    Low
    4.47%
    High
    4.47%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2023 full year · Annual average

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2023 full year“2023,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.964,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-02-013.964
    Readout
    Low
    3.96%
    High
    3.96%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Annual average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2024 Q1 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2024 Q1“2024q1,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.202,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-02-014.202
    Readout
    Low
    4.20%
    High
    4.20%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2024 Q2 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    4.64%4.69%CONSENSUSFEB 24APR 24JUN 24CBO · 4.69 · 2024-06-01CBO · 4.644 · 2024-02-01CBO 4.644

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2024 Q2“2024q2,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.69,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-06-014.69
    CBO2024 Q2“2024q2,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.644,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-02-014.644
    Readout
    Low
    4.69%
    High
    4.69%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2024 Q3 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    4.55%4.77%CONSENSUSFEB 24APR 24JUN 24CBO · 4.546 · 2024-06-01CBO · 4.766 · 2024-02-01CBO 4.766

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2024 Q3“2024q3,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.546,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-06-014.546
    CBO2024 Q3“2024q3,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.766,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-02-014.766
    Readout
    Low
    4.55%
    High
    4.55%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2024 Q4 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    4.20%4.82%CONSENSUSFEB 24JUL 24JAN 25CBO · 4.202 · 2025-01-01CBO · 4.416 · 2024-06-01CBO · 4.819 · 2024-02-01CBO 4.819

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2024 Q4“2024q4,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.202,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-01-014.202
    CBO2024 Q4“2024q4,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.416,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-06-014.416
    CBO2024 Q4“2024q4,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.819,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-02-014.819
    Readout
    Low
    4.20%
    High
    4.20%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2024 full year · Annual average

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    4.19%4.61%CONSENSUSFEB 24JUL 24JAN 25CBO · 4.188 · 2025-01-01CBO · 4.453 · 2024-06-01CBO · 4.608 · 2024-02-01CBO 4.608

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2024 full year“2024,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.188,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-01.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-01-014.188
    CBO2024 full year“2024,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.453,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-06.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-06-014.453
    CBO2024 full year“2024,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.608,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-02-014.608
    Readout
    Low
    4.19%
    High
    4.19%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Annual average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2025 Q1 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    4.25%4.81%CONSENSUSFEB 24JUL 24JAN 25CBO · 4.245 · 2025-01-01CBO · 4.328 · 2024-06-01CBO · 4.811 · 2024-02-01CBO 4.811

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2025 Q1“2025q1,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.245,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-01-014.245
    CBO2025 Q1“2025q1,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.328,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-06-014.328
    CBO2025 Q1“2025q1,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.811,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-02-014.811
    Readout
    Low
    4.25%
    High
    4.25%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2025 Q2 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    4.11%4.66%CONSENSUSFEB 24JUL 24JAN 25CBO · 4.113 · 2025-01-01CBO · 4.142 · 2024-06-01CBO · 4.664 · 2024-02-01CBO 4.664

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2025 Q2“2025q2,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.113,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-01-014.113
    CBO2025 Q2“2025q2,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.142,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-06-014.142
    CBO2025 Q2“2025q2,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.664,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-02-014.664
    Readout
    Low
    4.11%
    High
    4.11%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2025 Q3 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    4.01%4.26%4.51%CONSENSUSFEB 24JAN 25FEB 26CBO · 4.256 · 2026-02-01CBO · 4.282 · 2025-09-01CBO · 4.03 · 2025-01-01CBO · 4.011 · 2024-06-01CBO · 4.511 · 2024-02-01CBO 4.511

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2025 Q3“2025q3,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.256,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2026-02-014.256
    CBO2025 Q3“2025q3,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.282,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-09-014.282
    CBO2025 Q3“2025q3,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.03,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-01-014.03
    CBO2025 Q3“2025q3,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.011,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-06-014.011
    CBO2025 Q3“2025q3,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.511,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-02-014.511
    Readout
    Low
    4.26%
    High
    4.26%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2025 Q4 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    3.88%4.08%4.32%CONSENSUSFEB 24JAN 25FEB 26CBO · 4.082 · 2026-02-01CBO · 4.28 · 2025-09-01CBO · 3.985 · 2025-01-01CBO · 3.877 · 2024-06-01CBO · 4.315 · 2024-02-01CBO 4.315

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2025 Q4“2025q4,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.082,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2026-02-014.082
    CBO2025 Q4“2025q4,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.28,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-09-014.28
    CBO2025 Q4“2025q4,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.985,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-01-013.985
    CBO2025 Q4“2025q4,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.877,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-06-013.877
    CBO2025 Q4“2025q4,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.315,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-02-014.315
    Readout
    Low
    4.08%
    High
    4.08%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2025 full year · Annual average

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    4.09%4.29%4.58%CONSENSUSFEB 24JAN 25FEB 26CBO · 4.288 · 2026-02-01CBO · 4.344 · 2025-09-01CBO · 4.093 · 2025-01-01CBO · 4.09 · 2024-06-01CBO · 4.575 · 2024-02-01CBO 4.575

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2025 full year“2025,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.288,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2026-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2026-02-014.288
    CBO2025 full year“2025,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.344,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-09.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-09-014.344
    CBO2025 full year“2025,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.093,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-01.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-01-014.093
    CBO2025 full year“2025,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.09,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-06.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-06-014.09
    CBO2025 full year“2025,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.575,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-02-014.575
    Readout
    Low
    4.29%
    High
    4.29%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Annual average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2026 Q1 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    3.77%4.06%4.24%CONSENSUSFEB 24JAN 25FEB 26CBO · 4.059 · 2026-02-01CBO · 4.24 · 2025-09-01CBO · 3.954 · 2025-01-01CBO · 3.766 · 2024-06-01CBO · 4.125 · 2024-02-01CBO 4.125

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2026 Q1“2026q1,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.059,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2026-02-014.059
    CBO2026 Q1“2026q1,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.24,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-09-014.24
    CBO2026 Q1“2026q1,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.954,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-01-013.954
    CBO2026 Q1“2026q1,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.766,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-06-013.766
    CBO2026 Q1“2026q1,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.125,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-02-014.125
    Readout
    Low
    4.06%
    High
    4.06%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2026 Q2 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    3.69%4.09%4.22%CONSENSUSFEB 24JAN 25FEB 26CBO · 4.093 · 2026-02-01CBO · 4.216 · 2025-09-01CBO · 3.936 · 2025-01-01CBO · 3.687 · 2024-06-01CBO · 4.006 · 2024-02-01CBO 4.006

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2026 Q2“2026q2,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.093,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2026-02-014.093
    CBO2026 Q2“2026q2,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.216,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-09-014.216
    CBO2026 Q2“2026q2,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.936,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-01-013.936
    CBO2026 Q2“2026q2,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.687,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-06-013.687
    CBO2026 Q2“2026q2,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.006,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-02-014.006
    Readout
    Low
    4.09%
    High
    4.09%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2026 Q3 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    3.62%4.16%4.18%CONSENSUSFEB 24JAN 25FEB 26CBO · 4.156 · 2026-02-01CBO · 4.177 · 2025-09-01CBO · 3.927 · 2025-01-01CBO · 3.621 · 2024-06-01CBO · 3.862 · 2024-02-01CBO 3.862

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2026 Q3“2026q3,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.156,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2026-02-014.156
    CBO2026 Q3“2026q3,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.177,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-09-014.177
    CBO2026 Q3“2026q3,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.927,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-01-013.927
    CBO2026 Q3“2026q3,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.621,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-06-013.621
    CBO2026 Q3“2026q3,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.862,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-02-013.862
    Readout
    Low
    4.16%
    High
    4.16%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2027 Q1 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    3.58%4.23%CONSENSUSFEB 24JAN 25FEB 26CBO · 4.226 · 2026-02-01CBO · 4.087 · 2025-09-01CBO · 3.921 · 2025-01-01CBO · 3.578 · 2024-06-01CBO · 3.741 · 2024-02-01CBO 3.741

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2027 Q1“2027q1,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.226,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2026-02-014.226
    CBO2027 Q1“2027q1,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.087,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-09-014.087
    CBO2027 Q1“2027q1,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.921,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-01-013.921
    CBO2027 Q1“2027q1,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.578,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-06-013.578
    CBO2027 Q1“2027q1,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.741,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-02-013.741
    Readout
    Low
    4.23%
    High
    4.23%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2027 Q2 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    3.58%4.25%CONSENSUSFEB 24JAN 25FEB 26CBO · 4.248 · 2026-02-01CBO · 4.049 · 2025-09-01CBO · 3.917 · 2025-01-01CBO · 3.585 · 2024-06-01CBO · 3.748 · 2024-02-01CBO 3.748

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2027 Q2“2027q2,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.248,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2026-02-014.248
    CBO2027 Q2“2027q2,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.049,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-09-014.049
    CBO2027 Q2“2027q2,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.917,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-01-013.917
    CBO2027 Q2“2027q2,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.585,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-06-013.585
    CBO2027 Q2“2027q2,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.748,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-02-013.748
    Readout
    Low
    4.25%
    High
    4.25%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2027 Q3 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    3.60%4.26%CONSENSUSFEB 24JAN 25FEB 26CBO · 4.265 · 2026-02-01CBO · 4.015 · 2025-09-01CBO · 3.913 · 2025-01-01CBO · 3.596 · 2024-06-01CBO · 3.757 · 2024-02-01CBO 3.757

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2027 Q3“2027q3,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.265,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2026-02-014.265
    CBO2027 Q3“2027q3,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.015,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-09-014.015
    CBO2027 Q3“2027q3,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.913,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-01-013.913
    CBO2027 Q3“2027q3,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.596,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-06-013.596
    CBO2027 Q3“2027q3,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.757,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-02-013.757
    Readout
    Low
    4.26%
    High
    4.26%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2027 Q4 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    3.61%4.28%CONSENSUSFEB 24JAN 25FEB 26CBO · 4.279 · 2026-02-01CBO · 3.985 · 2025-09-01CBO · 3.908 · 2025-01-01CBO · 3.611 · 2024-06-01CBO · 3.771 · 2024-02-01CBO 3.771

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2027 Q4“2027q4,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.279,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2026-02-014.279
    CBO2027 Q4“2027q4,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.985,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-09-013.985
    CBO2027 Q4“2027q4,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.908,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-01-013.908
    CBO2027 Q4“2027q4,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.611,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-06-013.611
    CBO2027 Q4“2027q4,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.771,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2024-02-013.771
    Readout
    Low
    4.28%
    High
    4.28%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2028 Q1 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    3.90%4.29%CONSENSUSJAN 25JUL 25FEB 26CBO · 4.29 · 2026-02-01CBO · 3.957 · 2025-09-01CBO · 3.902 · 2025-01-01CBO 3.902

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2028 Q1“2028q1,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.29,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2026-02-014.29
    CBO2028 Q1“2028q1,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.957,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-09-013.957
    CBO2028 Q1“2028q1,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.902,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-01-013.902
    Readout
    Low
    4.29%
    High
    4.29%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2028 Q2 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    3.90%4.30%CONSENSUSJAN 25JUL 25FEB 26CBO · 4.3 · 2026-02-01CBO · 3.932 · 2025-09-01CBO · 3.897 · 2025-01-01CBO 3.897

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2028 Q2“2028q2,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.3,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2026-02-014.3
    CBO2028 Q2“2028q2,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.932,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-09-013.932
    CBO2028 Q2“2028q2,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.897,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-01-013.897
    Readout
    Low
    4.30%
    High
    4.30%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2028 Q3 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    3.89%4.31%CONSENSUSJAN 25JUL 25FEB 26CBO · 4.308 · 2026-02-01CBO · 3.91 · 2025-09-01CBO · 3.891 · 2025-01-01CBO 3.891

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2028 Q3“2028q3,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.308,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2026-02-014.308
    CBO2028 Q3“2028q3,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.91,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-09-013.91
    CBO2028 Q3“2028q3,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.891,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-01-013.891
    Readout
    Low
    4.31%
    High
    4.31%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2028 Q4 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    3.89%4.32%CONSENSUSJAN 25JUL 25FEB 26CBO · 4.315 · 2026-02-01CBO · 3.89 · 2025-09-01CBO · 3.887 · 2025-01-01CBO 3.887

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2028 Q4“2028q4,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.315,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2026-02-014.315
    CBO2028 Q4“2028q4,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.89,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-09-013.89
    CBO2028 Q4“2028q4,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.887,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-01-013.887
    Readout
    Low
    4.32%
    High
    4.32%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2028 full year · Annual average

    1 institution
    Forecasts by report dateUnited States
    3.89%4.30%CONSENSUSJAN 25JUL 25FEB 26CBO · 4.303 · 2026-02-01CBO · 3.922 · 2025-09-01CBO · 3.894 · 2025-01-01CBO 3.894

    EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus

    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2028 full year“2028,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.303,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2026-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2026-02-014.303
    CBO2028 full year“2028,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.922,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-09.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-09-013.922
    CBO2028 full year“2028,treasury_note_rate_10yr,3.894,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-01.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2025-01-013.894
    Readout
    Low
    4.30%
    High
    4.30%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Annual average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2029 Q1 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2029 Q1“2029q1,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.321,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2026-02-014.321
    Readout
    Low
    4.32%
    High
    4.32%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2029 Q2 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2029 Q2“2029q2,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.327,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2026-02-014.327
    Readout
    Low
    4.33%
    High
    4.33%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2029 Q3 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2029 Q3“2029q3,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.331,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2026-02-014.331
    Readout
    Low
    4.33%
    High
    4.33%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2029 Q4 · Quarterly average

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2029 Q4“2029q4,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.335,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2026-02-014.335
    Readout
    Low
    4.33%
    High
    4.33%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2029 full year · Annual average

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    CBO2029 full year“2029,treasury_note_rate_10yr,4.329,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2026-02.csv, treasury_note_rate_10yr · source ↗2026-02-014.329
    Readout
    Low
    4.33%
    High
    4.33%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Annual average

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.