Cleveland Fed inflation nowcast

Extracted from https://www.clevelandfed.org/indicators-and-data/inflation-nowcasting. The document stated no publication date, so this report is dated when it was read.

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Open source document ↗

Published2026-10-03

Extracted figures8

Source classModel nowcast

Update cadenceDaily

Available formatHTML

Reported figures

Each with its source sentence

Metric	Period	Reported	Forecast
Headline PCE inflation	2026 Q3“\| 2026:Q3 \| 1.57 \| 2.16 \| 1.92 \| 2.29 \| 10/02 \|” — Quarterly annualized percent change table, 2026:Q3 row, PCE column · source ↗	2026-10-03	1.92
Headline PCE inflation	2026 Q4“\| 2026:Q4 \| 4.02 \| 2.56 \| 3.79 \| 3.05 \| 10/02 \|” — Quarterly annualized percent change table, 2026:Q4 row, PCE column · source ↗	2026-10-03	3.79
Headline CPI inflation	2026 Q3“\| 2026:Q3 \| 1.57 \| 2.16 \| 1.92 \| 2.29 \| 10/02 \|” — Quarterly annualized percent change table, 2026:Q3 row, CPI column · source ↗	2026-10-03	1.57
Headline CPI inflation	2026 Q4“\| 2026:Q4 \| 4.02 \| 2.56 \| 3.79 \| 3.05 \| 10/02 \|” — Quarterly annualized percent change table, 2026:Q4 row, CPI column · source ↗	2026-10-03	4.02
Core CPI inflation	2026 Q3“\| 2026:Q3 \| 1.57 \| 2.16 \| 1.92 \| 2.29 \| 10/02 \|” — Quarterly annualized percent change table, 2026:Q3 row, Core CPI column · source ↗	2026-10-03	2.16
Core CPI inflation	2026 Q4“\| 2026:Q4 \| 4.02 \| 2.56 \| 3.79 \| 3.05 \| 10/02 \|” — Quarterly annualized percent change table, 2026:Q4 row, Core CPI column · source ↗	2026-10-03	2.56
Core PCE inflation	2026 Q3“\| 2026:Q3 \| 1.57 \| 2.16 \| 1.92 \| 2.29 \| 10/02 \|” — Quarterly annualized percent change table, 2026:Q3 row, Core PCE column · source ↗	2026-10-03	2.29
Core PCE inflation	2026 Q4“\| 2026:Q4 \| 4.02 \| 2.56 \| 3.79 \| 3.05 \| 10/02 \|” — Quarterly annualized percent change table, 2026:Q4 row, Core PCE column · source ↗	2026-10-03	3.05