PLANETARYINSIGHTS

    Real GDP growth 2026 full year 2.1 2.4 ▲ EIAReal GDP growth 2027 full year 2.6 2.8 ▲ EIAHeadline PCE inflation 2026 Q4 3.95 3.94 ▼ Cleveland FedHeadline CPI inflation 2026 Q4 4.24 4.40 ▲ Cleveland FedCore CPI inflation 2026 Q4 3.02 3.40 ▲ Cleveland FedCore PCE inflation 2026 Q4 3.33 3.38 ▲ Cleveland Fed

    The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2026 to 2036

    CBO’s current-law baseline for the federal budget, debt, and economy.

    Congressional Budget OfficeOpen source document ↗

    Published2026-02-11
    Extracted figures2
    Source classInstitution forecast
    Update cadenceAnnual
    Available formatHTML + PDF + XLSX

    Reported figures

    Each with its source sentence
    MetricPeriodReportedForecast
    Federal deficit / GDPFY2026“the deficit is 5.8 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2026” — The Budget Outlook · Deficits · source ↗2026-02-115.8%
    Federal debt / GDPFY2026“debt held by the public is projected to increase from 101 percent of GDP at the end of 2026” — Chapter 1 · Growing Debt · source ↗2026-02-11101%